Macroannouncements, Bond Auctions and Rating Actions in the European Government Bond Spreads

Boffelli, S. & Urga, G. (2015). Macroannouncements, Bond Auctions and Rating Actions in the European Government Bond Spreads. Journal of International Money and Finance, 53, pp. 148-173. doi: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.01.004

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Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of macroannouncements, government bond auctions and rating actions on the 10-year government bond spreads for Belgium, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain with respect to Germany. Using a unique tick-by-tick dataset over 1/02/2009–05/31/2012, we identify the impact of the three drivers via jump and cojump detection procedures. Disentangling the pre-from the post-announcement effects, real economy and forward looking news releases from US and Euro area, country specific Spanish and German macroannouncements, and auctions hold in distressed countries such Italy and Spain have a statistically and economically significant effect. No role is played by rating actions.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2015, Elsevier. Licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Uncontrolled Keywords: Jumps; Cojumps; Government bond spreads; Macroannouncements; Government bond auctions; Rating actions
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Divisions: Cass Business School > Faculty of Finance
URI: http://openaccess.city.ac.uk/id/eprint/6973

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