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Credit rating downgrades and systemic risk

Kladakis, G. & Skouralis, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-0835-1457 (2024). Credit rating downgrades and systemic risk. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 90, article number 101902. doi: 10.1016/j.intfin.2023.101902


We examine whether changes in issuer credit ratings by the three main providers are associated with changes in systemic risk. First, we find that rating downgrades result in an increase in bank systemic risk, whereas upgrades do not proportionally reduce systemic risk. Second, we document that the positive relationship between rating downgrades and systemic risk can be mitigated by accounting-based stability factors, such as profitability and capital, but also enhanced by sovereign rating downgrades. Finally, we show that sovereign rating downgrades have a greater effect on bound banks’ systemic risk compared to non-bound banks.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons CC-BY license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Publisher Keywords: Credit rating agencies, Rating downgrades, Systemic risk, Banks
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Departments: Bayes Business School > Finance
SWORD Depositor:
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