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Quantification of the Impact of Cyber Attack in Critical Infrastructures

Popov, P. T., Netkachov, A. and Salako, K. (2014). Quantification of the Impact of Cyber Attack in Critical Infrastructures. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 8696, pp. 316-327. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-10557-4_35


In this paper we report on a recent study of the impact of cyber-attacks on the resilience of complex industrial systems. We describe our approach to building a hybrid model consisting of both the system under study and an Adversary, and we demonstrate its use on a complex case study - a reference power transmission network (NORDIC 32), enhanced with a detailed model of the computer and communication system used for monitoring, protection and control. We studied the resilience of the modelled system under different scenarios: i) a base-line scenario in which the modelled system operates in the presence of accidental failures without cyber-attacks; ii) scenarios in which cyber-attacks can occur. We discuss the usefulness of our findings and outline directions for further work.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: The final publication is available at Springer via
Publisher Keywords: Critical Infrastructures, Power Transmission Network, IEC 61850, stochastic modelling
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Departments: School of Mathematics, Computer Science & Engineering > Computer Science > Software Reliability
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