City Research Online

Abstract

The housing markets in China have been gaining considerable interest from investors, but the inflation-hedging characteristics of housing remain ambiguous. Based on Chinese city-level data, this study evaluates different inflation-hedging properties in eastern, middle and western real estate markets using panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) models. Findings suggest middle real estate markets afford the best hedging opportunities for expected inflation, which is robust considering housing market heterogeneity, financial crisis and the 2010 purchase restriction order. Moreover, hedging efficacy of anticipated inflation differs between markets with low and high supply–demand ratio.

Publication Type:	Article
Additional Information:	This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in 'Applied Economics' on 16 Sep 2015, available online: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080811.
Publisher Keywords:	inflation-hedging, Chinese regional real estate, PVAR model, difference-in-difference
Subjects:	D History General and Old World > DS Asia H Social Sciences > HG Finance H Social Sciences > HT Communities. Classes. Races
Departments:	Bayes Business School > Finance
SWORD Depositor:	Symplectic Administrator

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