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How do parole boards respond to large, societal shocks? Evidence from the 9/11 terrorist attacks

McConnell, B. ORCID: 0000-0001-6029-9479, Tan, K. T. K. & Zapryanova, M. (2024). How do parole boards respond to large, societal shocks? Evidence from the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Journal of Public Economics, 238, article number 105206. doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2024.105206

Abstract

We provide the first evidence of the impact of 9/11 on outcomes for Muslims in the US criminal justice system. We focus on parole outcomes of Black Muslim men in the state of Georgia, and find large post-9/11 declines in the likelihood of being granted parole and a subsequent 23% relative increase in prison time for Muslim inmates. These impacts persisted for several years after 9/11 and were larger for inmates with higher levels of recidivism risk. We argue that these effects reflect unwarranted disparities driven by the decision-making of parole board members post-9/11.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2024. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Publisher Keywords: Parole board, Discrimination, Terrorist attacks
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HM Sociology
H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
H Social Sciences > HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare
Departments: School of Policy & Global Affairs
School of Policy & Global Affairs > Economics
SWORD Depositor:
[thumbnail of prisons_MTZ.pdf] Text - Accepted Version
This document is not freely accessible until 14 August 2026 due to copyright restrictions.
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.

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