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Beyond the street EPS surprise – when ‘other surprises’ matter in explaining earnings announcement returns

Bilinski, P. ORCID: 0000-0002-0499-6429 (2024). Beyond the street EPS surprise – when ‘other surprises’ matter in explaining earnings announcement returns. Accounting and Business Research, doi: 10.1080/00014788.2024.2400875

Abstract

This study examines when accounting surprises other than the street EPS surprise, i.e., ‘other surprises’, are useful to investors. First, ‘other surprises’ are incrementally important when companies use earnings management to beat the analyst consensus EPS forecasts and when earnings quality is low. Second, ‘other surprises’ are useful in interpreting quarterly results for (i) growth stocks, (ii) stocks with high institutional ownership (particularly by active institutions and blockholders), and (iii) in interpreting the quality of the street EPS surprise. Third, the street EPS surprise shows no association with earnings announcement returns controlling for ‘other surprises.’ This result reflects that some ‘other surprises’, such as the net income surprise, are better predictors of future earnings surprises than the street EPS surprise.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The terms on which this article has been published allow the posting of the Accepted Manuscript in a repository by the author(s) or with their consent.
Publisher Keywords: earnings announcements, earnings announcement puzzle, unexpected news, non-street EPS surprises
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HF Commerce > HF5601 Accounting
Departments: Bayes Business School
Bayes Business School > Finance
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