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Nonparametric Kernel Testing in Semiparametric Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model

Wongsaart, P. & Gao, J. (2011). Nonparametric Kernel Testing in Semiparametric Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model. .

Abstract

A crucially important advantage of the semiparametric regression approach to the nonlinear autoregressive conditional duration (ACD) model developed in Wongsaart et al. (2011), i.e. the so–called Semiparametric ACD (SEMI–ACD) model, is the fact that its estimation method does not require a parametric assumption on the conditional distribution of the standardized duration process and, therefore, the shape of the baseline hazard function. The research in this paper complements that of Wongsaart et al. (2011) by introducing a nonparametric procedure to test the parametric density function of ACD error through the use of the SEMI–ACD based residual. The hypothetical structure of the test is useful, not only to the establishment of a better parametric ACD model, but also to the specification testing of a number of financial market microstructure hypotheses, especially those related to the information asymmetry in finance. The testing procedure introduced in this paper differs in many ways from those discussed in existing literatures, for example A¨ıt-Sahalia (1996), Gao and King (2004) and Fernandes and Grammig (2005). We show theoretically and experimentally the statistical validity of our testing procedure, while demonstrating its usefulness and practicality using datasets from New York and Australia Stock Exchange

Publication Type: Monograph (Working Paper)
Publisher Keywords: Duration model, hazard rates and random measures, nonparametric kernel testing
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Departments: School of Policy & Global Affairs
School of Policy & Global Affairs > Economics
SWORD Depositor:
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