Trajectory of severe COVID anxiety and predictors for recovery in an 18-month UK cohort
King, J. D., McQuaid, A., Barnicot, K.
ORCID: 0000-0001-5083-5135 , Bassett, P., Leeson, V. C., Di Simplicio, M., Tyrer, P., Tyrer, H., Watt, R. G. & Crawford, M. J. (2025).
Trajectory of severe COVID anxiety and predictors for recovery in an 18-month UK cohort.
BJPsych Open, 11(6),
article number e263.
doi: 10.1192/bjo.2025.10884
Abstract
Background
People with severe COVID anxiety have significant fears of contagion, physiological symptoms of anxiety in response to a COVID stimulus and employ often disproportionate safety behaviours at the expense of other life priorities.
Aims
To characterise the long-term trajectory of severe COVID anxiety, and the factors that influence recovery.
Method
This prospective cohort study followed 285 people with severe COVID anxiety in the UK over 18 months. A nested randomised feasibility trial tested an online cognitive–behavioural therapy (CBT)-based intervention (no. ISRCTN14973494). Descriptive statistics and linear regression models identified factors associated with change in COVID anxiety over 18 months.
Results
Most participants experienced major reductions in COVID anxiety over time (69.8% relative cohort mean decrease, P < 0.001), but a quarter of people (23.7%, 95% CI: 17.8–30.1) continued to worry about COVID every day, and for 13% symptoms remained severe even after the ending of all public health restrictions. Increasing age, being from a minority ethnic background that confers greater risk from COVID-19, and the persistence of high levels of health anxiety and depressive symptoms, predicted slower improvements in severe COVID anxiety after adjusting for other clinical and demographic factors. Neither a trial CBT-based intervention, nor contextual factors including daily case rates, vaccination status or having contracted COVID-19, appeared to affect the trajectory of severe COVID anxiety.
Conclusions
For most people severe COVID anxiety improves significantly with time. However, interventions treating depression and health anxiety, and targeting older people and those from greater-risk minority backgrounds, warrant further investigation in future pandemics.
| Publication Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | © The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Royal College of Psychiatrists. This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited. |
| Publisher Keywords: | Anxiety disorders, health behaviour, health anxiety, pandemic |
| Subjects: | B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BF Psychology R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine |
| Departments: | School of Health & Medical Sciences School of Health & Medical Sciences > Department of Population Health & Policy |
| SWORD Depositor: |
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
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