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A Causal Map Framework to Explain Support for Strong Leaders in Politics

Rigoli, F. ORCID: 0000-0003-2233-934X (2026). A Causal Map Framework to Explain Support for Strong Leaders in Politics. International Social Science Journal, doi: 10.1111/issj.70051

Abstract

The article introduces a computational theory explaining why some people support strong leaders in politics, arguing that this support sometimes arises because people view a strong leader as means to address social problems. The theory proposes that people develop a causal map concerning the consequences of the rise of a strong leader. This predicts that support for strong leaders grows when a person believes that a strong leader fosters unity within the community, that unity is needed to address social problems and that failure to address the problems is costly. These predictions are corroborated in three experimental online studies based on vignettes. The theory clarifies why support for strong leaders is often situational (e.g., it occurs only when the leader is thought to foster unity) and why it can sometimes emerge within groups (e.g., the political left and centre) that typically dislike strong leaders as such.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: © The Authors. Published by Wiley. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of Creative Commons: Attribution International Public License 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Publisher Keywords: authoritarian personality, Bayesian net, cost, strong leader, threat, unity
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HM Sociology
H Social Sciences > HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Departments: School of Health & Medical Sciences
School of Health & Medical Sciences > Department of Psychology & Neuroscience
SWORD Depositor:
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