Modelling: The elephant in the room
Tsanakas, A. (2012). Modelling: The elephant in the room. The Actuary, 2012(Septem),
Abstract
In an insurance world preoccupied with Solvency II, internal models have increased in both complexity and business significance. Nonetheless, actuaries are painfully aware of models’ limitations in representing the economic world, not least because of their reliance on often arbitrary assumptions. It is commonplace to say “all models are wrong but some are useful”. But in what sense might an internal model be wrong? If a model is wrong, how can it be useful? Significantly, what incentives does regulation produce for model development and use?
Publication Type: | Article |
---|---|
Additional Information: | Solvency II, model development, model limitations |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HA Statistics H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD61 Risk Management |
Departments: | Bayes Business School > Actuarial Science & Insurance |
SWORD Depositor: |
Preview
Download (115kB) | Preview
Official URL: http://www.theactuary.com/features/2012/09/bottom-...
Export
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year
Altmetric
CORE (COnnecting REpositories)
Actions (login required)