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A Model of Investment under Uncertainty with Time to Build, Market Incompleteness and Risk Aversion

Delaney, L. ORCID: 0000-0003-0944-9894 (2020). A Model of Investment under Uncertainty with Time to Build, Market Incompleteness and Risk Aversion. European Journal of Operational Research,

Abstract

In this paper I develop a theoretical framework of irreversible investment under uncertainty in which there is time to build (TTB). The novel aspects of this framework, compared with TTB models in the extant literature, are that the market is incomplete in that not all the uncertainty associated with investing can be diversified away by trading an appropriate spanning asset, and the decision-maker, who acts in the interest of an organisation, is risk averse. I show that models of investment under uncertainty with a TTB, and models of investment under uncertainty with market incompleteness and risk aversion, ought not to be mutually exclusive as they have been in research to date because the recognised results of market incompleteness and risk aversion on the optimal investment strategy are challenged when we incorporate a TTB feature. Conversely, there are also implications on the effect of a TTB when we incorporate market incompleteness and risk aversion. The framework I develop in this paper provides a robust and parsimonious means of facilitating this.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2021. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Publisher Keywords: Finance, Investment under Uncertainty, Time to Build, Market Incompleteness, Risk Aversion
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD61 Risk Management
Departments: School of Arts & Social Sciences > Economics
Date Deposited: 04 Jan 2021 14:25
URI: https://openaccess.city.ac.uk/id/eprint/25437
[img] Text - Accepted Version
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