City Research Online

Abstract

In this paper, we propose asset class liquidity risk indicators constructed by aggregating financial, monetary and credit variables. We measure the presence of liquidity in six highly representative markets such as the Equity Europe, Long Term Italian Government Bond, Short Term European Government Bond, Equity US, Bond Corporate Investment Grade USD, Short Term US Government Bond markets over the period January 2007-January 2023. Our approach allows for a time-varying measure of the relative contribution of the raw drivers to the asset class indicators. The use of the endogenous Markov-switching model allows to identify episodes of financial distress which have characterised the behaviour of assets over the last two decades. Finally, we map the Markov-switching regimes with the bubble episodes we identify using recursive testing procedures.

Publication Type:	Article
Additional Information:	© 2024. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Publisher Keywords:	Asset Class Liquidity Risk Indicators, Aggregation, Endogenous Markov-Switching Models, Bubble Episodes
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD61 Risk Management H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Departments:	Bayes Business School Bayes Business School > Finance
SWORD Depositor:	Symplectic Administrator

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