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Trends in amblyopia risk factors and socioeconomic disparities in Scottish children aged 3.5–5.5 years

Conway, M. L. ORCID: 0000-0001-5016-0529, Evans, B. J. W., Pentland, L. , Edgar, D. F. ORCID: 0000-0001-9004-264X, Shah, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6134-0936 & Evans, B. E. W. (2026). Trends in amblyopia risk factors and socioeconomic disparities in Scottish children aged 3.5–5.5 years. American Journal of Ophthalmology, 287, pp. 109-117. doi: 10.1016/j.ajo.2026.03.012

Abstract

Objective
Scotland’s comprehensive orthoptist-led vision screening program for children (3.5-5.5 years) has participation of ∼85% (∼45,000 annually). Tests include presenting vision, cover test, and other orthoptic evaluations. Screening failures are referred for an eye examination, including cycloplegic refraction, by an optometrist/ophthalmologist. Primary objectives: report prevalence of amblyopia risk factors (ARFs) in a defined population. Secondary objective: investigate associations between ARFs and deprivation/housing/location.

Design
Retrospective cohort and trend study.

Participants
Scottish children aged 3.5 to 5.5 years.

Methods
ARFs considered were constant manifest strabismus, hyperopia (spherical equivalent refraction, SER) >+4.00D (one/both eyes), astigmatism >1.75DC (one/both eyes), anisometropia >1.25DC for astigmatism and >1.25D (SER) for hyperopic or mixed anisometropia. Data are from 2013/14, 2014/15, 2015/16, 2020/21, and 2021/22 school years, from Health Boards containing 87% of Scotland’s population.

Main outcome measures
Refractive error and cover test results.

Results
Prevalence (95% CI) of ≥ one ARF ranged from 4.41% (4.21-4.60, 2013-14) to 5.15% (4.92-5.38, 2021-22), with no statistically significant relationship between prevalence of any ARF and time (for Bonferroni corrected adjusted P-value = .008). In 2021 to 22, for children with ≥1 ARF, 48.23% had astigmatism, 35.10% hyperopia (SER), 26.59% hyperopic anisometropia (SER), 13.73% constant manifest strabismus and 12.64% astigmatic anisometropia. Correlations between ARFs and deprivation/housing/location were not significant (P = .06 to 1.00). For all years, odds ratios for referral following screening failure in quintile 1 (most deprived) were significantly higher (39% to 60% higher, P < .001) than middle quintile 3.

Conclusions
In this Scottish population (3.5 to 5.5 years) the prevalence of children with ≥1 ARF was approximately 5%, validating the universal vision screening program’s importance. Children in the most deprived quintile were significantly more likely to fail screening.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2026 Published by Elsevier Inc. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Publisher Keywords: vision screening, school screening, amblyopia risk factors, amblyopia, Scotland, deprivation
Subjects: R Medicine > RE Ophthalmology
R Medicine > RJ Pediatrics > RJ101 Child Health. Child health services
Departments: School of Health & Medical Sciences
School of Health & Medical Sciences > Department of Optometry & Visual Science
SWORD Depositor:
[thumbnail of ARF Paper final-clean.pdf] Text - Accepted Version
This document is not freely accessible until 24 March 2027 due to copyright restrictions.
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial No Derivatives.

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