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Managerial Learning from Analyst Feedback to Voluntary Capex Guidance, Investment Efficiency, and Firm Performance

Bae, J. ORCID: 0000-0003-1580-8718, Biddle, G. C. ORCID: 0000-0003-3405-0738 & Park, C. W. ORCID: 0000-0001-6266-6965 (2022). Managerial Learning from Analyst Feedback to Voluntary Capex Guidance, Investment Efficiency, and Firm Performance. Management Science, 68(1), pp. 583-607. doi: 10.1287/mnsc.2020.3896

Abstract

We test predictions that managers issuing voluntary capex guidance learn from analyst feedback and that this learning enhances investment efficiency and firm performance. Our findings are consistent with these predictions. First, we find that managers’ capex adjustments and capex guidance revisions relate positively with analyst feedback measured by differences between postguidance analyst capex forecasts and managerial capex guidance. Second, changes in investment efficiency relate positively with analyst feedback. Third, subsequent firm financial performance relates positively with the predicted values of both managers’ capex adjustments and capex guidance revisions. These findings extend prior evidence regarding sources of managerial learning and investment efficiency and help to explain the active issuance of voluntary guidance by managers in settings where, as for capex guidance, the potential for managerial learning from related share price effects is limited, as we also explain.

Publication Type: Article
Additional Information: © 2021, INFORMS.
Publisher Keywords: voluntary disclosure, capex guidance, analyst feedback, managerial learning, investment efficiency, firm performance
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management
H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Departments: Bayes Business School
Bayes Business School > Faculty of Finance
SWORD Depositor:
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