Timing of Term Births and Associated Mortality Risks: Ecological Analysis Across 28 European Countries
Gunnarsdóttir, J., Philibert, M., Gissler, M. , Källén, K., Klungsøyr, K., Loghi, M., Macfarlane, A.
ORCID: 0000-0003-0977-7214, Sakkeus, L., Tica, V. & Zeitlin, J. (2025).
Timing of Term Births and Associated Mortality Risks: Ecological Analysis Across 28 European Countries.
BJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, 132(11),
pp. 1655-1663.
doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.18292
Abstract
Objective
To explore term mortality rates in relation to rates of early‐term birth (gestational ages 37 + 0 to 38 + 6 weeks), regarded as a proxy indicator of practices of elective birth by induction or caesarean.
Design
Ecological study using national birth data.
Setting
28 European countries.
Population
Births ≥ 37 weeks between 2015 and 2020.
Methods
Aggregated data on live and stillbirths by completed week of gestation was compiled from routine sources in the Euro‐Peristat network. Countries were divided into three groups based on their percentages of early‐term births using terciles (high, medium and low) and mortality rates were compared between groups with random‐effects meta‐analysis of proportions.
Main Outcome Measures
Stillbirths (antepartum or intrapartum fetal death) and perinatal death (stillbirth or early neonatal death) per 1000 total births ≥ 37 weeks.
Results
Early‐term birth rates ranged from 17.8% (Iceland) to 49.1% (Cyprus), with terciles being < 21%, 21%–27%, and > 27%. Post‐term birth rates were low in countries with higher early‐term birth rates. The pooled stillbirth rate ≥ 37 weeks was 1.28 per 1000 total births (95% CI: 1.13–1.46) in the lowest tercile and 1.05 (95% CI: 0.95–1.16) in the highest (p = 0.05), but prediction intervals were wide reflecting heterogeneity within groups. No evidence of difference was seen between perinatal mortality rates by tercile (p = 0.71).
Conclusion
On average, the stillbirth rate was lower in countries where early‐term birth rates were highest, but no difference was found in perinatal mortality rates. Heterogeneity was high within groups.
| Publication Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Publisher Keywords: | early‐term birth, neonatal death, perinatal death, stillbirth |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HQ The family. Marriage. Woman R Medicine > R Medicine (General) R Medicine > RG Gynecology and obstetrics R Medicine > RJ Pediatrics > RJ101 Child Health. Child health services R Medicine > RT Nursing |
| Departments: | School of Health & Medical Sciences School of Health & Medical Sciences > Department of Nursing & Midwifery |
| SWORD Depositor: |
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution.
Download (1MB) | Preview
Export
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year
Metadata
Metadata