City Research Online

2026

Wang, X., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Xue, J-H. (2026). UC-PUAL: A universally consistent classifier of positive-unlabelled data. Pattern Recognition, 169, article number 111892. doi: 10.1016/j.patcog.2025.111892

2025

Aboagye, E. ORCID: 0009-0000-6582-8536, Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Fung, T. C. ORCID: 0000-0003-0238-0636 , Peng, L. & Wang, Q. ORCID: 0000-0002-9671-8425view all authors (2025). A revisit of the optimal excess-of-loss contract. European Journal of Operational Research, 322(1), pp. 341-354. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.11.027

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Badescu, A., Chen, Z. ORCID: 0009-0009-6376-3850 & Zhou, F. ORCID: 0000-0002-9851-8312view all authors (2025). Efficient and proper Generalised Linear Models with power link functions.

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Badescu, A., Chen, Z. ORCID: 0009-0009-6376-3850 & Zhou, F. ORCID: 0000-0002-9851-8312view all authors (2025). Efficient and proper Generalised Linear Models with power link functions. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 122, pp. 91-118. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2025.02.005

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Wang, R. ORCID: 0009-0003-5539-0149, Zhou, F. ORCID: 0000-0002-9851-8312 & Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369view all authors (2025). Efficient Positive Semidefinite Matrix Approximation by Iterative Optimisations and Gradient Descent Method. Risks, 13(2), article number 28. doi: 10.3390/risks13020028

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Yuan, Z. & Zhou, F. (2025). Tail similarity. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 121, pp. 26-44. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.12.004

Bagkavos, D., Isakson, A., Mammen, E. , Perch, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0001-6874-1268 & Proust-Lima, C.view all authors (2025). Superefficient estimation of future conditional hazards based on time-homogeneous high-quality marker information. Biometrika, 112(2), article number asaf008. doi: 10.1093/biomet/asaf008

Bishopberger, S., Hiabu, M., Mammen, E. & Perch Nielsen, J. ORCID: 0000-0001-6874-1268view all authors (2025). Smooth Backfitting for Additive Hazard Rates. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics,

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Dowling, M., Long, S. & Wardman, J. K.view all authors (2025). Media amplification under the floodlight: Contextualising 20 years of US risk news. Risk Analysis, doi: 10.1111/risa.17701

Chen, A., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Thomas, S. ORCID: 0000-0001-5438-4263 (2025). The Role of the Annuity Price in Decumulation Strategies with Deferred Annuities. Journal of Retirement, 12(3), pp. 44-67. doi: 10.3905/jor.2024.1.173

De Mori, L., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759, Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369view all authors (2025). Mortality forecasting via multi-task neural networks. ASTIN Bulletin, 55(2), pp. 313-331. doi: 10.1017/asb.2025.10

Hsu, P-H., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Ma, T. & Sermpinis, G.view all authors (2025). Mutual Funds’ Conditional Performance Free of Data Snooping Bias. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 60(3), pp. 1373-1400. doi: 10.1017/s0022109024000097

Jeong, S., Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Wright, D.view all authors (2025). Subjective survival beliefs and the life-cycle model. Insurance: Mathematics & Economics, 122, pp. 11-29. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2025.01.007

Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175 & Klasen, A. (2025). Reinsuring Export Credit Agencies: What Drives Demand?. Journal of World Trade, 59(3), pp. 343-372. doi: 10.54648/trad2025022

Li, X., Ji, L. ORCID: 0009-0006-7572-1525, Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Ma, Z. & Xue, J-H. ORCID: 0000-0003-1174-610Xview all authors (2025). Clarity in chaos: Boosting few-shot classification through information suppression and sparsification. Pattern Recognition, 167, article number 111726. doi: 10.1016/j.patcog.2025.111726

Li, X., Wang, L., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Ma, Z., Cao, J. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2025). SRML: Structure-relation mutual learning network for few-shot image classification. Pattern Recognition, 168, article number 111822. doi: 10.1016/j.patcog.2025.111822

Li, X., Wang, X., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Ma, Z. ORCID: 0000-0003-2950-2488, Cao, J. ORCID: 0000-0003-0481-5170 & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2025). Selectively augmented attention network for few-shot image classification. IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems for Video Technology, 35(2), pp. 1180-1192. doi: 10.1109/tcsvt.2024.3480279

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-3509-6551 (2025). Differential quantile-based sensitivity in discontinuous models. European Journal of Operational Research, 322(2), pp. 554-572. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.12.008

Shang, H. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2025). Forecasting Age Distribution of Deaths: Cumulative Distribution Function Transformation. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 122, pp. 249-261. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2025.03.007

Shang, H. L. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2025). Forecasting age distribution of life-table death counts via alpha-transformation. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2025(4), pp. 387-403. doi: 10.1080/03461238.2024.2425723

Villegas, A. M., Bajekal, M. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2025). Modelling mortality by cause of death and socio-economic stratification: an analysis of mortality differentials in England. Decisions in Economics and Finance, doi: 10.1007/s10203-025-00511-2

Wang, C. ORCID: 0009-0001-9477-6939, Yan, S., Chen, Y. , Wang, X., Wang, Y. ORCID: 0000-0002-6220-029X, Dong, M., Yang, X. ORCID: 0000-0002-9299-5951, Li, D. ORCID: 0000-0003-3103-8442, Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Clifton, D. A. ORCID: 0000-0002-9848-8555, Dick, R. P. ORCID: 0000-0001-5428-9530, Lv, Q., Yang, F. ORCID: 0000-0003-2164-8175, Lu, T. ORCID: 0000-0002-6633-4826, Gu, N. ORCID: 0000-0002-2915-974X & Shang, L.view all authors (2025). Denoising Reuse: Exploiting Inter-frame Motion Consistency for Efficient Video Generation. IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems for Video Technology, doi: 10.1109/tcsvt.2025.3548728

Wang, R. (2025). Robust and fair learning: From correlation matrices to fair learning models. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City St George’s, University of London)

Wang, X., Yang, X. ORCID: 0000-0002-9299-5951, Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Xue, J-H. ORCID: 0000-0003-1174-610Xview all authors (2025). PUAL: A classifier on trifurcate positive-unlabelled data. Neurocomputing, 637, article number 130080. doi: 10.1016/j.neucom.2025.130080

Wang, X., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Xue, J-H. (2025). GKF-PUAL: A group kernel-free approach to positive-unlabeled learning with variable selection. Information Sciences, 690, article number 121574. doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2024.121574

Wei, Z., Zeng, Y., Shi, Y. ORCID: 0000-0002-3226-7944 , Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Shahbaz, M.view all authors (2025). Forecasting Energy Efficiency in Manufacturing: Impact of Technological Progress in Productive Service and Commodity Trades. Journal of Forecasting, doi: 10.1002/for.3289

Wu, Q., Shahbaz, M. & Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X (2025). Temperature Fluctuations, Climate Uncertainty, and Financing Hindrance. Journal of Regional Science, 65(1), pp. 112-134. doi: 10.1111/jors.12733

Yanez, J. S., Guillen, M. & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0001-6874-1268 (2025). Weekly dynamic motor insurance ratemaking with a telematics signals bonus-malus score. ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 55(1), pp. 1-28. doi: 10.1017/asb.2024.30

Zhang, Z. ORCID: 0009-0009-3591-3890, Chang, D. ORCID: 0000-0002-4081-3001, Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Li, X., Ma, Z. ORCID: 0000-0003-2950-2488 & Xue, J-H. ORCID: 0000-0003-1174-610Xview all authors (2025). Query-aware Cross-mixup and Cross-reconstruction for Few-shot Fine-grained Image Classification. IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems for Video Technology, 35(2), pp. 1276-1286. doi: 10.1109/tcsvt.2024.3484530

2024

Aboagye, E., Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Fung, T. C. , Peng, L. & Wang, Q.view all authors (2024). A Revisit of the Optimal Excess-of-Loss Contract. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.11.027

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Yuan, Z. & Zhou, F. (2024). Tail Similarity.

Bacinello, A. R., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Viviano, F. ORCID: 0000-0001-7244-1292 (2024). An iterative least-squares Monte Carlo approach for the simulation of cohort based biometric indices. European Actuarial Journal, doi: 10.1007/s13385-024-00393-5

Bagkavos, D., Guillen, M. & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0001-6874-1268 (2024). Nonparametric conditional survival function estimation and plug-in bandwidth selection with multiple covariates. TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, 33(4), pp. 1225-1257. doi: 10.1007/s11749-024-00945-7

Bao, Q., Hui, Z., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Ren, P., Xie, X. & Yang, W.view all authors (2024). Improving Diffusion-Based Image Restoration with Error Contraction and Error Correction. In: Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence. Thirty-Eighth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 20-27 Feb 2024, Vancouver, Canada. doi: 10.1609/aaai.v38i2.27833

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Ashby, S. & Ring, P. (2024). Reconciling Risk as Threat and Opportunity: The Social Construction of Risk in Boardrooms. Risk Analysis, 44(8), pp. 1959-1976. doi: 10.1111/risa.14275

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851 & Dowling, M. (2024). The road to olympic failure is paved in poor risk management. Safety Science, 169, article number 106331. doi: 10.1016/j.ssci.2023.106331

Carannante, M., D’Amato, V., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Menzietti, M.view all authors (2024). Frailty-based Lee–Carter family of stochastic mortality models. Quality and Quantity, 58(6), pp. 5081-5105. doi: 10.1007/s11135-023-01786-6

Carannante, M., D’amato, V., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Menzietti, M.view all authors (2024). Frailty-based mortality models and reserving for longevity risk. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 49(2), pp. 320-339. doi: 10.1057/s41288-024-00319-y

Cust, H., Lepine, A., Treibich, C. , Powell-Jackson, T., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Ndour, C. T.view all authors (2024). Trading HIV for Sheep: Risky sexual behaviour and the response of female sex workers to Tabaski in Senegal. Health Economics, 33(1), pp. 153-193. doi: 10.1002/hec.4756

De Mori, L., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507, Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759view all authors (2024). Two-population Mortality Forecasting: An Approach Based on Model Averaging. Risks, 12(4), article number 60. doi: 10.3390/risks12040060

Debon, A., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Piscopo, G. (2024). Multipopulation Mortality Analysis: bringing out the unobservable with Latent Clustering. Quality and Quantity, 58(6), pp. 5107-5123. doi: 10.1007/s11135-023-01728-2

Dong, F., Chen, M., Zhou, J. , Shi, Y., Chen, Y., Dong, M., Wang, Y., Li, D., Yang, X., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Dick, R., Lv, Q., Yang, F., Lu, T., Gu, N. & Shang, L.view all authors (2024). Once Read is Enough: Domain-specific Pretraining-free Language Models with Cluster-guided Sparse Experts for Long-tail Domain Knowledge. In: Globerson, A., Mackey, L., Belgrave, D. , Fan, A., Paquet, U., Tomczak, J. & Zhang, C.view all authors (Eds.), Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems. NeurIPS 2024, 10-15 Dec 2024, Vancouver, Canada.

Dorn, F., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961, Marra, G. & Kneib, T.view all authors (2024). A Bivariate Relative Poverty Line for Leisure Time and Income Poverty: Detecting Intersectional Differences Using Distributional Copulas. Review of Income and Wealth, 70(2), pp. 395-419. doi: 10.1111/roiw.12635

Fahrenwaldt, M., Furrer, C., Hiabu, M. E. , Huang, F., Jørgensen, F. H., Lindholm, M., Loftus, J., Steffensen, M. & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532view all authors (2024). Fairness: plurality, causality, and insurability. European Actuarial Journal, 14(2), pp. 317-328. doi: 10.1007/s13385-024-00387-3

Fang, L., Lanzolla, G. & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2024). Shared exposures or management fashions? Drivers of cross-industry convergence of textual risk disclosures. .

Gasimova, K., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 (2024). Solvency Analysis of Deferred Annuities. Decisions in Economics and Finance, doi: 10.1007/s10203-024-00452-2

Guillen, M., Pérez-Marín, A. M. & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 (2024). Pricing weekly motor insurance drivers’ with behavioral and contextual telematics data. Heliyon, 10(16), article number e36501. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36501

Jang, C., Clare, A. ORCID: 0000-0002-4180-6778 & Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554 (2024). Liability-Driven Investment for Pension Funds: Stochastic Optimization with Real Assets. Risk Management, 26(3), article number 12. doi: 10.1057/s41283-024-00141-9

Jang, C., Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554 & Clare, A. ORCID: 0000-0002-4180-6778 (2024). Life-cycle investment and housing decisions with longevity annuities and reverse mortgage. Journal of Risk Management,

Klasen, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-0364-8374, Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175, Beck, J. & Pennington, J.view all authors (2024). Navigating geopolitical and trade megatrends: Public export finance in a world of change. Global Policy, 15(5), pp. 1007-1014. doi: 10.1111/1758-5899.13417

Klasen, A., Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175, Jeffs, C. & Vassard, J.view all authors (2024). Navigating New Trade Horizons: Supporting Exporters in a World of Change (WP 01/24). London, UK: Bayes Business School, Centre for Banking Research.

Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Brignone, R. & Fusai, G. ORCID: 0000-0001-9215-2586 (2024). Unified moment-based modelling of integrated stochastic processes. Operations Research, 72(4), pp. 1630-1653. doi: 10.1287/opre.2022.2422

Li, X., Guo, Z., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Ma, Z., Guo, J. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2024). A simple scheme to amplify inter-class discrepancy for improving few-shot fine-grained image classification. Pattern Recognition, 156, article number 110736. doi: 10.1016/j.patcog.2024.110736

Li, X., Lu, P., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Cao, J., Ma, Z. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2024). Rise by Lifting Others: Interacting Features to Uplift Few-Shot Fine-Grained Classification. IEEE transactions on circuits and systems for video technology, 35(4), pp. 3094-3103. doi: 10.1109/tcsvt.2024.3501733

Lin Shang, H. ORCID: 0000-0003-1769-6430 & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2024). Weighted compositional functional data analysis for modeling and forecasting life‐table death counts. Journal of Forecasting, 43(8), pp. 3051-3071. doi: 10.1002/for.3171

Lindholm, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2024). Sensitivity-based measures of discrimination in insurance pricing. .

Lindholm, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2024). What is fair? Proxy discrimination vs. demographic disparities in insurance pricing. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2024(9), pp. 935-970. doi: 10.1080/03461238.2024.2364741

Lindholm, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2024). A multi-task network approach for calculating discrimination-free insurance prices. European Actuarial Journal, 14(2), pp. 329-369. doi: 10.1007/s13385-023-00367-z

Mahdavi Ardekani, A., Bertz, J., Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851 , Dowling, M. & Chen, S.view all authors (2024). FinSentGPT: A universal financial sentiment engine?. International Review of Financial Analysis, 94, article number 103291. doi: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103291

Marchese, M. ORCID: 0000-0001-6801-911X, Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0001-6874-1268 & Scholz, M.view all authors (2024). Robustifying and simplifying high-dimensional regression with applications to yearly stock return and telematics data. Financial Innovation, 10(1), article number 138. doi: 10.1186/s40854-024-00657-9

Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Zimmer, D. (2024). A Unifying Switching Regime Regression Framework with Applications in Health Economics. Econometric Reviews, doi: 10.1080/07474938.2023.2255438

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757, Chan, M. S. & Cairns, A. J. G. (2024). The great health challenge – levelling up the UK. Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance: Issues and Practice, 49(2), pp. 270-294. doi: 10.1057/s41288-024-00317-0

Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507, Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wang, R. (2024). A theory of multivariate stress testing. European Journal of Operational Research, 318(3), pp. 851-866. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.06.002

Schramm, S.P. (2024). Examining Low Value Care in Low Income Populations: A Comparison of Three US State Medicaid Programs. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Villegas, A., Bajekal, M., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Zhou, L.view all authors (2024). Key Drivers of Long-Term Rates of Mortality Improvements in the United States: Period, Cohort, and Cause of Death Analysis, 1959–2016. North American Actuarial Journal, 28(1), pp. 187-217. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2023.2167834

Wang, R., Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Zhou, F.view all authors (2024). Efficient PSD Matrix Approximation by Iterative Optimisations and Gradient Descent Method.

Wei, M., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Sermpinis, G. & Stasinakis, C.view all authors (2024). Cryptocurrencies and Lucky Factors: The value of technical and fundamental analysis. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 29(4), pp. 4073-4104. doi: 10.1002/ijfe.2863

Xu, Z. ORCID: 0009-0008-4497-724X, Xu, H. ORCID: 0009-0000-7570-4078, Lu, Z. ORCID: 0009-0005-6159-6914 , Zhao, Y. ORCID: 0000-0001-5902-1306, Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Wang, Y. ORCID: 0000-0002-6220-029X, Dong, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-8897-5931, Chang, Y. ORCID: 0000-0003-2607-916X, Lv, Q. ORCID: 0000-0002-9437-1376, Dick, R. P. ORCID: 0000-0001-5428-9530, Yang, F. ORCID: 0000-0003-2164-8175, Lu, T. ORCID: 0000-0002-6633-4826, Gu, N. ORCID: 0000-0002-2915-974X & Shang, L. ORCID: 0000-0003-3944-7531view all authors (2024). Can Large Language Models Be Good Companions?. Proceedings of the ACM on Interactive, Mobile, Wearable and Ubiquitous Technologies, 8(2), pp. 1-41. doi: 10.1145/3659600

Zhang, Z., Chronopoulos, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-3858-2021, Dimitrova, D. S. ORCID: 0000-0003-3169-2735 & Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596Xview all authors (2024). Risk assessment and optimal scheduling of serial projects. OR Spectrum, 46(3), pp. 709-736. doi: 10.1007/s00291-023-00740-0

Zhang, Z., Chronopoulos, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-3858-2021, Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Dimitrova, D. S. ORCID: 0000-0003-3169-2735view all authors (2024). Bi-level optimisation of subsidy and capacity investment under competition and uncertainty. European Journal of Operational Research, 318(1), pp. 327-340. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.03.028

2023

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Peng, L., Tunaru, R. & Zhou, F. ORCID: 0000-0002-9851-8312view all authors (2023). Constructing Optimal Portfolios under Risk Budgeting.

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066 (2023). Modeling Risk for CVaR-Based Decisions in Risk Aggregation. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(5), article number 266. doi: 10.3390/jrfm16050266

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, El Khatib, R. & Vinny, A. (2023). Implications of telemedicine in care homes: considerations for the evolving risk landscape.

Carannante, M., D'Amato, V. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2023). Effect of Covid-19 frailty heterogeneity on the future evolution of mortality by stratified weighting. Journal of Demographic Economics, 89(3), pp. 513-532. doi: 10.1017/dem.2023.4

Chen, A., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Thomas, S. (2023). Adaptive retirement planning, sustainable withdrawals and deferred annuities. Journal of Retirement, 10(3), pp. 96-119. doi: 10.3905/jor.2022.1.118

Devi Makam, Vaishno (2023). Sensitivity Analysis of Simulation Models using Divergence Minimisation. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Dimitrova, D. S. ORCID: 0000-0003-3169-2735, Kaishev, V. K., Lattuada, A. & Verrall, R. J. ORCID: 0000-0003-4098-9792view all authors (2023). Geometrically designed variable knot splines in generalized (non-)linear models. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 436, article number 127493. doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2022.127493

El Khatib, R., Bassett, J., Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851 & Ungaretti, A.view all authors (2023). The metaverse: Navigating the evolving risk landscape for retailers. Lockton’s Retail Practice,

Eletti, A. ORCID: 0000-0002-3390-8272, Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2023). A General Estimation Framework for Multi-State Markov Processes with Flexible Specification of the Transition Intensities.

Eletti, A., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2023). A Spline-Based Framework for the Flexible Modelling of Continuously Observed Multistate Survival Processes. Statistical Modelling: An International Journal, 23(5-6), pp. 495-509. doi: 10.1177/1471082x231176120

England, R. (2023). Agent-Based Modelling in the Insurance Industry: An Exploration of Emergent Systemic Risk. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Fang, L. (2023). Inter-industry convergence within financial services and its systemic implications. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Filippou, P., Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Zimmer, D.view all authors (2023). Estimating the Impact of Medical Care Usage on Work Absenteeism by a Trivariate Probit Model with Two Binary Endogenous Explanatory Variables. AStA: Advances in Statistical Analysis: A Journal of the German Statistical Society, 107(4), pp. 713-731. doi: 10.1007/s10182-022-00464-6

Gerrard, R. J. G. ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-8752, Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0001-6874-1268 & Vodička, P.view all authors (2023). On optimal constrained investment strategies for long-term savers in stochastic environments and probability hedging. European Journal of Operational Research, 307(2), pp. 948-962. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2022.10.003

Guan, Y., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wang, R. (2023). An impossibility theorem on capital allocation. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2023(3), pp. 290-302. doi: 10.1080/03461238.2022.2094718

Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2023). A rejoinder to “Thirty years on: A review of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality". International Journal of Forecasting, 39(3), pp. 1050-1052. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.01.006

Jeong, S. Y. (2023). Essays on networks, subjective survival beliefs and annuity markets. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Kamiza, A. B., Touré, S. M., Zhou, F. ORCID: 0000-0002-9851-8312 , Soremekun, O., Cissé, C., Wélé, M., Touré, A. M., Nashiru, O., Corpas, M., Nyirenda, M., Crampin, A., Shaffer, J., Doumbia, S., Zeggini, E., Morris, A. P., Asimit, J. L., Chikowore, T. & Fatumo, S.view all authors (2023). Multi-trait discovery and fine-mapping of lipid loci in 125,000 individuals of African ancestry. Nature Communications, 14(1), article number 5403. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-41271-0

Li, X., Li, Y., Zheng, Y. , Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Ma, Z., Xue, J-H. & Cao, J.view all authors (2023). ReNAP: Relation network with adaptiveprototypical learning for few-shot classification. Neurocomputing, 520, pp. 356-364. doi: 10.1016/j.neucom.2022.11.082

Lindholm, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2023). What is fair? Proxy discrimination vs. demographic disparities in insurance pricing. .

Liu, X., Song, Q., Wu, J. , Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Ma, Z. & Xue, J.view all authors (2023). Locally-Enriched Cross-Reconstruction for Few-Shot Fine-Grained Image Classification. IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems for Video Technology, 33(12), pp. 7530-7540. doi: 10.1109/tcsvt.2023.3275382

Marra, G., Fasiolo, M., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Winkelmann, R.view all authors (2023). A Flexible Copula Regression Model with Bernoulli and Tweedie Margins for Estimating the Effect of Spending on Mental Health. Health Economics, 32(6), pp. 1305-1322. doi: 10.1002/hec.4668

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2023). Counting the cost of inequality. Journal of Demographic Economics, 89(3), pp. 395-418. doi: 10.1017/dem.2023.12

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 & Algar, R. (2023). Marathon or sprint? Do elite-level athletes live longer than average?. London, UK: International Longevity Centre.

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2023). Differential Sensitivity in Discontinuous Models. .

Pilbeam, K. ORCID: 0000-0002-5609-8620, Beckmann, J., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Liu, J.view all authors (2023). Celebrating the 27th anniversary of International Journal of Finance and Economics and shaping the future. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 28(1), pp. 5-8. doi: 10.1002/ijfe.2743

Sendstad, L. H., Chronopoulos, M. & Hagspiel, V. (2023). Optimal Risk Adoption and Capacity Investment in Technological Innovations. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 70(2), pp. 576-589. doi: 10.1109/tem.2021.3056142

Tsiodra, M., Panda, S., Chronopoulos, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-3858-2021 & Panaousis, E.view all authors (2023). Cyber Risk Assessment and Optimization: A Small Business Case Study. IEEE Access, 11, pp. 44467-44481. doi: 10.1109/access.2023.3272670

Zhang, X., Huang, F., Hui, F. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759view all authors (2023). Cause of death mortality forecasting using penalized adaptive tensor decompositions. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 111, pp. 193-213. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2023.05.003

Zhang, Z. (2023). Optimising Investment Decisions under Uncertainty: A Study of Risk, Subsidies, Competition, and Technological Learning. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Zhou, F., Yang, W. & Jing-Hao, X.view all authors (2023). Statistical hypothesis testing as a novel perspective of pooling for image quality assessment. Signal Processing: Image Communication, 114, article number 116942. doi: 10.1016/j.image.2023.116942

2022

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Santoni, S. ORCID: 0000-0002-5928-3901 , Scognamiglio, S. & Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369view all authors (2022). Robust Classification via Support Vector Machines. Risks, 10(8), article number 154. doi: 10.3390/risks10080154

Barigou, K., Bignozzi, V. & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2022). Insurance valuation: A two-step generalised regression approach. Astin Bulletin: The Journal of the ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association, 52(1), pp. 211-245. doi: 10.1017/asb.2021.31

Boado-Penas, C., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Naka, P. (2022). Fairness and Annuitisation Divisors for Notional Defined Contribution Pension Schemes. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 21(2), pp. 143-167. doi: 10.1017/s1474747220000311

Carannante, M., D'Amato, V. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2022). COVID-19 accelerated mortality shocks and the impact on life insurance: the Italian situation’. Annals of Actuarial Science, 16(3), pp. 478-497. doi: 10.1017/s1748499522000094

Das, M. K., Tsai, H., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Fusai, G. ORCID: 0000-0001-9215-2586view all authors (2022). Technical Note - On Matrix Exponential Differentiation with Application to Weighted Sum Distributions. Operations Research, 70(4), pp. 1984-1995. doi: 10.1287/opre.2021.2257

Djeundje, V. B., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759, Bajekal, M. & Lu, J.view all authors (2022). The slowdown in mortality improvement rates 2011–2017: a multi-country analysis. European Actuarial Journal, 12(2), pp. 839-878. doi: 10.1007/s13385-022-00318-0

Dunnell, K., Farager, R., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 , Leon, D., Price, D. & Sloman, D.view all authors (2022). The current and future effects of climate change on health in the UK. Longevity Science Panel.

Eletti, A., Marra, G., Quaresma, M. , Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Rubio, F. J.view all authors (2022). A Unifying Framework for Flexible Excess Hazard Modeling with Applications in Cancer Epidemiology. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, 71(4), pp. 1044-1062. doi: 10.1111/rssc.12566

England, R., Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554 & Wright, D. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554 (2022). An Agent-Based Model of Motor Insurance Customer Behaviour in the UK with Word of Mouth. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 25(2), article number 2. doi: 10.18564/jasss.4768

Jang, C., Clare, A. ORCID: 0000-0002-4180-6778 & Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554 (2022). Glide paths for a retirement plan with deferred annuities. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 21(4), pp. 565-581. doi: 10.1017/S1474747221000251

Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2022). Efficient evaluation of alternative reinsurance strategies using control variates. European Actuarial Journal, 12(1), pp. 425-431. doi: 10.1007/s13385-022-00304-6

Lindholm, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2022). Discrimination-free insurance pricing. Astin Bulletin: The Journal of the ASTIN and AFIR Sections of the International Actuarial Association, 52(1), pp. 55-89. doi: 10.1017/asb.2021.23

Lindholm, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2022). A multi-task network approach for calculating discrimination-free insurance prices. .

Lindholm, M., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532, Richman, R. & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2022). A Discussion of Discrimination and Fairness in Insurance Pricing. .

Lv, Y., Yang, W., Zuo, W. , Liao, Q. & Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369view all authors (2022). Sain: Similarity-Aware Video Frame Interpolation. In: ICASSP 2022 - 2022 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP). ICASSP 2022 - 2022 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP), 23-27 May 2022, Singapore, Singapore. doi: 10.1109/icassp43922.2022.9747211

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2022). Future-proofing retirement living - Easing the care and housing crises. International Longevity Centre UK.

Merz, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M.view all authors (2022). Interpreting Deep Learning Models with Marginal Attribution by Conditioning on Quantiles. Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 36(4), pp. 1335-1370. doi: 10.1007/s10618-022-00841-4

Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507, Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wang, R. (2022). A theory of multivariate stress testing. .

Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Ram, R. & Regis, L. (2022). An analysis of the Dutch-style pension plans proposed by UK policy-makers. Journal of Social Policy, 51(2), pp. 325-345. doi: 10.1017/s0047279421000155

Petti, D., Eletti, A., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2022). Copula Link-Based Additive Models for Bivariate Time-to-Event Outcomes with General Censoring Scheme. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 175, article number 107550. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2022.107550

Ranjbar, S., Cantoni, E., Chavez-Demoulin, V. , Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Jaton-Ogay, K.view all authors (2022). Modelling the Extremes of Seasonal Viruses and Hospital Congestion: The Example of Flu in a Swiss Hospital. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, 71(4), pp. 884-905. doi: 10.1111/rssc.12559

Ren, K., Guo, Z., Zhang, Z. , Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Li, X.view all authors (2022). Multi-Branch Network for Few-shot Learning. In: Proceedings of 2022 Asia-Pacific signal and Information Processing Association Annual Summit and Conference (APSIPA ASC). 2022 Asia-Pacific Signal and Information Processing Association Annual Summit and Conference (APSIPA ASC), 7-10 Nov 2022, Chiang Mai, Thailand. doi: 10.23919/APSIPAASC55919.2022.9980160

Shang, H.L., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Xu, R. (2022). Multi-population modelling and forecasting life-table death counts. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 106, pp. 239-253. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2022.07.002

Sogi, N., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Xue, J-H. & Fukui, K.view all authors (2022). Constrained mutual convex cone method for image set based recognition. Pattern Recognition, 121, article number 108190. doi: 10.1016/j.patcog.2021.108190

Spreeuw, J. ORCID: 0000-0002-5838-9085, Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554 & Kashif, M. (2022). Projecting mortality rates using a Markov chain. Mathematics, 10(7), article number 1162. doi: 10.3390/math10071162

Spreeuw, J. ORCID: 0000-0002-5838-9085 (2022). The Copula Derived from the SAHARA Utility Function. Risks, 10(7), article number 133. doi: 10.3390/risks10070133

Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 (2022). Selecting bivariate copula models using image recognition. Astin Bulletin, 52(3), pp. 707-734. doi: 10.1017/asb.2022.12

Tsiodra, M. & Chronopoulos, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-3858-2021 (2022). A bi-level model for optimal capacity investment and subsidy design under risk aversion and uncertainty. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 73(8), pp. 1787-1799. doi: 10.1080/01605682.2021.1943021

Wang, Z., Liu, Y., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Yang, W. & Liao, Q.view all authors (2022). Lightweight Single Image Super-Resolution With Similar Feature Fusion Block. IEEE ACCESS, 10, pp. 30974-30981. doi: 10.1109/access.2022.3158936

Zhao, J., Dong, K., Dong, X. , Shahbaz, M. & Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596Xview all authors (2022). Is green growth affected by financial risks? New global evidence from asymmetric and heterogeneous analysis. Energy Economics, 113, article number 106234. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106234

Zhou, F. ORCID: 0000-0002-9851-8312, Butterworth, A. S. & Asimit, J. L. (2022). Flashfm-ivis: interactive visualisation for fine-mapping of multiple quantitative traits. In: Human Heredity. 50th European Mathematical Genetics Meeting (EMGM) 2022, 21-22 Apr 2022, Cambridge, United Kingdom. doi: 10.1159/000524615

Zhou, F. ORCID: 0000-0002-9851-8312, Butterworth, A. S. & Asimit, J. L. (2022). Flashfm-ivis: interactive visualization for fine-mapping of multiple quantitative traits. Bioinformatics, 38(17), pp. 4238-4242. doi: 10.1093/bioinformatics/btac453

2021

Aeberhard, W., Cantoni, E., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2021). Robust Fitting for Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape. Statistics and Computing, 31(1), article number 11. doi: 10.1007/s11222-020-09979-x

Asimit, A.V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Boonen, T. J., Chi, Y. & Chong, W. F.view all authors (2021). Risk Sharing with Multiple Indemnity Environments. European Journal of Operational Research, 295(2), pp. 587-603. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.03.012

Bacinello, A. R., Chen, A., Sehner, T. & Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507view all authors (2021). On the Market-Consistent Valuation of Participating Life Insurance Heterogeneous Contracts under Longevity Risk. Risks, 9(1), article number 20. doi: 10.3390/risks9010020

Blake, D. ORCID: 0000-0002-2453-2090, Cannon, E. & Wright, I. D. (2021). Quantifying Loss Aversion: Evidence from a UK Population Survey. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 63, pp. 27-57. doi: 10.1007/s11166-021-09356-7

Brignone, R., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Fusai, G. ORCID: 0000-0001-9215-2586 (2021). Moment-matching approximations for stochastic sums in non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 96, pp. 232-247. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.12.002

Cust, H., Jones, H., Powell-Jackson, T. , Lepine, A. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2021). Economic shocks and risky sexual behaviours in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review of the literature. Journal of Development Effectiveness, 13(2), pp. 166-203. doi: 10.1080/19439342.2021.1928734

D'Amato, V., di Lorenzo, E., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 , Sibilllo, M. & Tizzano, R.view all authors (2021). Pension schemes versus real estate. Annals of Operations Research, 299(1-2), pp. 797-809. doi: 10.1007/s10479-019-03241-y

Debon, A., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759, Montes, F. & Otranto, E.view all authors (2021). Do different models induce changes in mortality indicators? That is a key question for extending the Lee-Carter model.. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(4), article number 2204. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18042204

Gasimova, Khadija (2021). Essays on optimal reinsurance design, solvency analysis of deferred annuities and pension buyouts. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Gomez-Valle, L., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Martinez-Rodriguez, J. & Nomikos, N. ORCID: 0000-0003-1621-2991view all authors (2021). Estimating risk-neutral freight rate dynamics: A nonparametric approach. The Journal of Futures Markets, 41(11), pp. 1824-1842. doi: 10.1002/fut.22244

Guan, Y., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wang, R. (2021). An impossibility theorem on capital allocation. .

Guillen, M., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Perez-Marin, A. M. (2021). Near-miss telematics in motor insurance. Journal Of Risk And Insurance, 88(3), pp. 569-589. doi: 10.1111/jori.12340

Hiabu, M., Mammen, E., Maria Dolores, M-M. & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817view all authors (2021). Smooth backfitting of proportional hazards with multiplicative components. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116(536), pp. 1983-1993. doi: 10.1080/01621459.2020.1753520

Hiabu, M., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Scheike, T. (2021). Non-Smooth Backfitting for Excess Risk Additive Regression Model with Two Survival Time-Scales. Biometrika, 108(2), pp. 491-506. doi: 10.1093/biomet/asaa058

Isakson, A., Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175, Martinez-Miranda, M. D. & Rickayzen, B. D. ORCID: 0000-0002-0433-0870view all authors (2021). Calendar Effect and In-Sample Forecasting Applied to Mesothelioma Mortality Data. Mathematics, 9(18), article number 2260. doi: 10.3390/math9182260

Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Mousavi, P., Nielsen, J. P. & Scholz, M.view all authors (2021). Forecasting benchmarks of long-term stock returns via machine learning. Annals of Operations Research, 297(1-2), pp. 221-240. doi: 10.1007/s10479-019-03338-4

Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Mousavi, P., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Scholz, M.view all authors (2021). Short-term exuberance and long-term stability: A simultaneous optimization of stock return predictions for short and long horizons. Mathematics, 9(6), article number 620. doi: 10.3390/math9060620

Lopes, L R (2021). Predictive Models for Medical Costs in Private Healthcare. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Lu, X., Qiao, Y., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Wang, G., Ma, Z. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2021). Generalisations of stochastic supervision models. Pattern Recognition, 109, article number 107575. doi: 10.1016/j.patcog.2020.107575

Makam, V. D., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2021). Sensitivity analysis with χ2-divergences. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 100, pp. 372-383. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.06.007

Marra, G., Farcomeni, A. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2021). Link-based survival additive models under mixed censoring to assess risks of hospital-acquired infections. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 155, article number 107092. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2020.107092

Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Zimmer, D. (2021). Did the ACA's Guaranteed Issue Provision Cause Adverse Selection into Nongroup Insurance? Analysis using a Copula-Based Hurdle Model. Health Economics, 30(9), pp. 2246-2263. doi: 10.1002/hec.4372

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2021). On the postponement of increases in state pension age through health improvement and active ageing. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 14(2), pp. 315-336. doi: 10.1007/s12061-020-09359-y

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 & Smith, D. ORCID: 0000-0001-6642-8884 (2021). An investigation into inequalities in adult lifespan. North American Actuarial Journal, 25(sup1), S545-S565. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2019.1671874

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2021). The cost of inequality: Putting a price on health. London, UK: ILC UK.

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2021). The longevity of sporting legends. London, UK: ILC UK.

Merz, M., Richman, R., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2021). Interpreting Deep Learning Models with Marginal Attribution by Conditioning on Quantiles. .

Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817, Mammen, E., Martiınez-Miranda, M. D. & Vogt, M.view all authors (2021). Calendar effect and in-sample forecasting. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 96, pp. 31-52. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.10.003

Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Jang, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-1883-7971 & Clare, A. ORCID: 0000-0002-4180-6778 (2021). Optimal Investment for a Retirement Plan with Deferred Annuities. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 98, pp. 51-62. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2021.02.001

Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Jang, C. & Clare, A. (2021). Optimal investment for a retirement plan with deferred annuities allowing for inflation and labour income risk. European Journal of Operational Research, 295(3), pp. 1132-1146. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.03.052

Owadally, I. ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Mwizere, J-R., Kalidas, N. , Murugesu, K. & Kashif, M.view all authors (2021). Long-term Sustainable Investment for Retirement. Sustainability, 13(9), article number 5000. doi: 10.3390/su13095000

Pesenti, S. M., Bettini, A., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532view all authors (2021). Scenario Weights for Importance Measurement (SWIM) – an R package for sensitivity analysis. Annals of Actuarial Science, 15(2), pp. 458-483. doi: 10.1017/s1748499521000130

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2021). Cascade sensitivity measures. Risk Analysis: an international journal, 41(12), pp. 2392-2414. doi: 10.1111/risa.13758

Renshaw, A. E. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2021). Modelling and forecasting mortality improvement rates with random effects. European Actuarial Journal, 11(2), pp. 381-412. doi: 10.1007/s13385-021-00274-1

Rickayzen, B. D., Mayhew, L. & Smith, D. (2021). Flexible and affordable methods of paying for long-term care insurance. North American Actuarial Journal, 25(sup1), S196-S214. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2019.1651657

Sendstad, L. H. & Chronopoulos, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-3858-2021 (2021). Strategic Technology Switching under Risk Aversion and Uncertainty. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 126, article number 103918. doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2020.103918

Spreeuw, J. ORCID: 0000-0002-5838-9085, Yanagisawa, Y., Sugino, A. , Thomas, R. & Williams, M.view all authors (2021). The effect of boosting polyphenol intake for women’s cancer survivors on arthralgia, mood and hot flushes - a pilot real World evaluation. Journal of Nursing and Women's Health, 5(1), article number 168. doi: 10.29011/2577-1450.100068

Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 & Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 (2021). Copula model selection using image recognition. .

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Wüthrich, M. V. (2021). Clustering driving styles via image processing. Annals of Actuarial Science, 15(2), pp. 276-290. doi: 10.1017/s1748499520000317

van den Berg, G., anys, L., Mammen, E. & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817view all authors (2021). A General Semiparametric Approach to Inference with Marker-Dependent Hazard Rate Models. Journal of Econometrics, 221(1), pp. 43-67. doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.05.025

2020

Asimit, A.V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Cheung, K. C., Chong, W. F. & Hu, J.view all authors (2020). Pareto-optimal insurance contracts with premium budget and minimum charge constraints. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 95, pp. 17-27. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.08.001

Asimit, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 (2020). Special Issue “Machine Learning in Insurance”. Risks, 8(2), article number 54. doi: 10.3390/risks8020054

Ballotta, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-2059-6281, Fusai, G. ORCID: 0000-0001-9215-2586, Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X , Papapostolou, N. C. ORCID: 0000-0003-4529-1182 & Pouliasis, P. K. ORCID: 0000-0002-7389-3722view all authors (2020). Risk management of climate impact for tourism operators: An empirical analysis on ski resorts. Tourism Management, 77, article number 104011. doi: 10.1016/j.tourman.2019.104011

Bartl, M. & Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175 (2020). Prediction of claims in export credit finance: a comparison of four machine learning techniques. Risks, 8(1), article number 22. doi: 10.3390/risks8010022

Boado-Penas, C., Godínez-Olivares, H., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Serrano, P.view all authors (2020). Automatic Balancing Mechanisms for Mixed Pension Systems under Different Investment Strategies. European Journal of Finance, 26(2-3), pp. 277-294. doi: 10.1080/1351847x.2019.1647260

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Ring, P., Ashby, S. & Wardman, J.view all authors (2020). Resilience in the Face of Uncertainty: Early Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic. Journal of Risk Research, 23(7-8), pp. 880-887. doi: 10.1080/13669877.2020.1756379

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Dowling, M. & Lucey, B. (2020). The Journal Quality Perception Gap. Research Policy, 49(5), article number 103957. doi: 10.1016/j.respol.2020.103957

Chen, A., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Thomas, S. ORCID: 0000-0001-5438-4263 (2020). The implication of the hyperbolic discount model for annuitisation decisions. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 19(3), pp. 372-391. doi: 10.1017/s1474747218000343

Dettoni, R., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2020). Generalized Link-Based Additive Survival Models with Informative Censoring. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 29(3), pp. 503-512. doi: 10.1080/10618600.2020.1724544

Dimitrova, D. S., Kaishev, V. K. & Tan, S. (2020). Computing the Kolmogorov-Smirnov Distribution when the Underlying cdf is Purely Discrete, Mixed or Continuous. Journal of Statistical Software, 95(10), pp. 1-42. doi: 10.18637/jss.v095.i10

Dimitrova, D. S. ORCID: 0000-0003-3169-2735, Ignatov, Z., Kaishev, V. K. & Tan, S.view all authors (2020). On Double-Boundary Non-Crossing Probability for a Class of Compound Processes with Applications. European Journal of Operational Research, 282(2), pp. 602-613. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.09.058

Dong, Y., Huang, F., Yu, H. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759view all authors (2020). Multi-population mortality forecasting using tensor decomposition. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2020(8), pp. 754-775. doi: 10.1080/03461238.2020.1740314

Gambaro, A. M., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Fusai, G. ORCID: 0000-0001-9215-2586 (2020). General lattice methods for arithmetic Asian options. European Journal of Operational Research, 282(3), pp. 1185-1199. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.10.026

Gerrard, R. J. G. ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-8752, Hiabu, M., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Vodička, P.view all authors (2020). Long-term real dynamic investment planning. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 92, pp. 90-103. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.03.002

Guillen, M., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817, Pérez-Marín, A. & Elpidorou, V.view all authors (2020). Can automobile insurance telematics predict the risk of near-miss events?. North American Actuarial Journal, 24(1), pp. 141-152. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2019.1627221

Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Mousavi, P., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Scholz, M.view all authors (2020). Longer-Term Forecasting of Excess Stock Returns—The Five-Year Case. Mathematics, 8(6), article number 927. doi: 10.3390/math8060927

Lee, Y. K., Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Park, B. U.view all authors (2020). Nonparametric regression with parametric help. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 14(2), pp. 3845-3868. doi: 10.1214/20-ejs1760

Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2020). Copula Link-Based Additive Models for Right-Censored Event Time Data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 115(530), pp. 886-895. doi: 10.1080/01621459.2019.1593178

Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Zimmer, D. (2020). Estimating the Binary Endogenous Effect of Insurance on Doctor Visits by Copula-Based Regression Additive Models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 69(4), pp. 953-971. doi: 10.1111/rssc.12419

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757, Harper, G. & Villegas, A. M. (2020). An investigation into the impact of deprivation on demographic inequalities in adults. Annals of Actuarial Science, 14(2), pp. 358-383. doi: 10.1017/s1748499520000068

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2020). Too Little, Too Late? Too Little, Too Late? Housing for an Housing for an ageing population ageing population (978-1-9997174-9-0). London, UK: CSFI: Centre for the Study of Financial Information.

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 & Smith, D. ORCID: 0000-0001-6642-8884 (2020). The 100-year family Longer lives, fewer children. London: International Longevity Centre UK.

Owadally, M. I ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Kashif, M. & Menoncin, F. (2020). Optimal portfolio and spending rules for endowment funds. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 55(2), pp. 671-693. doi: 10.1007/s11156-019-00856-x

Sendstad, L. H. & Chronopoulos, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-3858-2021 (2020). Sequential investment in renewable energy technologies under policy uncertainty. Energy Policy, 137, article number 111152. doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111152

Shang, H.L. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2020). Forecasting age distribution of death counts: An application to annuity pricing. Annals of Actuarial Science, 14(1), pp. 150-169. doi: 10.1017/s1748499519000101

Shang, H.L. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2020). Forecasting multiple functional time series in a group structure: an application to mortality’. ASTIN Bulletin, 50(2), pp. 357-379. doi: 10.1017/asb.2020.3

Shang, H.L. & Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 (2020). Retiree Mortality Forecasting: A Partial Age-Range or a Full Age-Range Model?. Risks, 8(3), article number 69. doi: 10.3390/risks8030069

Tamvakis, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-5056-0159, Marchese, M., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Di Iorio, F.view all authors (2020). Forecasting crude oil and refined products volatilities and correlations: New evidence from fractionally integrated multivariate GARCH models. Energy Economics, 88, article number 104757. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104757

Wang, K., Fang, L. & Cheng, J. (2020). Management of Commissions to Meet the Regulatory Requirements: Evidence from Property-Casualty Insurance in China. Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 45(3), pp. 508-534. doi: 10.1057/s41288-020-00161-y

Yang, W., Zhou, F., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 , Fukui, K., Wang, G. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2020). Deep learning for image super-resolution. Neurocomputing, 398, pp. 291-292. doi: 10.1016/j.neucom.2019.09.091

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Guo, Y. & Xue, J-H. (2020). Adjusting the imbalance ratio by the dimensionality of imbalanced data. Pattern Recognition Letters, 133, pp. 217-223. doi: 10.1016/j.patrec.2020.03.004

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Wang, Z., Sogi, N. , Fukui, K. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2020). A Novel Separating Hyperplane Classification Framework to Unify Nearest-class-model Methods for High-dimensional Data. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, 31(10), pp. 3866-3876. doi: 10.1109/tnnls.2019.2946967

van der Wurp, H., Groll, A., Kneib, T. , Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2020). Generalised joint regression for count data with a focus on modelling football matches. Statistics and Computing, 30(5), pp. 1419-1432. doi: 10.1007/s11222-020-09953-7

van der Wurp, H., Groll, A., Kneib, T. , Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2020). Generalised joint regression for count data: a penalty extension for competitive settings. Statistics and Computing, 30(5), pp. 1419-1432. doi: 10.1007/s11222-020-09953-7

2019

Asimit, A.V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Hu, J. & Xie, Y. (2019). Optimal Robust Insurance with a Finite Uncertainty Set. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 87, pp. 67-81. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2019.03.009

Asimit, A.V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066, Peng, L., Wang, R. & Yu, A.view all authors (2019). An efficient approach to quantile capital allocation and sensitivity analysis. Mathematical Finance, 29(4), pp. 1131-1156. doi: 10.1111/mafi.12211

Ayuso, M., Guillén, M. & Nielsen, J. P. (2019). Improving automobile insurance ratemaking using telematics: incorporating mileage and driver behaviour data. Transportation, 46(3), pp. 735-752. doi: 10.1007/s11116-018-9890-7

Barakat, A., Ashby, S., Fenn, P. & Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851view all authors (2019). Operational Risk and Reputation in Financial Institutions: Does Media Tone Make a Difference?. Journal of Banking and Finance, 98, pp. 1-24. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.10.007

Bischofberger, S., Hiabu, M., Mammen, E. & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817view all authors (2019). A comparison of in-sample forecasting methods. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 137, pp. 133-154. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2019.02.009

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851 (2019). Risk and performance: Embedding risk management. Glasgow, UK: ACCA.

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Chmura, T., Webb, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-8862-6491 , Stiebale, J. & Cheevers, C.view all authors (2019). Internally Reporting Risk in Financial Services: An Empirical Analysis. Journal of Business Ethics, 156(2), pp. 493-512. doi: 10.1007/s10551-017-3530-6

Chen, A., Haberman, S. & Thomas, S. (2019). Cumulative Prospect Theory and Deferred Annuities. Review of Behavioural Finance, 11(3), pp. 277-293. doi: 10.1108/rbf-10-2017-0102

Corsaro, S., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Marazzina, D. & Marino, Z.view all authors (2019). A general framework for pricing Asian options under stochastic volatility on parallel architectures. European Journal of Operational Research, 272(3), pp. 1082-1095. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.07.017

Cuthbertson, K., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Sermpinis, G. & Pantelous, A. A.view all authors (2019). Special issue of the International Journal of Finance and Economics innovations in finance, economics, risk management, and policy. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 24(4), pp. 1407-1408. doi: 10.1002/ijfe.1738

D'Amato, V., Haberman, S. & Piscopo, G. (2019). The dependency premium based on a multifactor model for dependent mortality data. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 48(1), pp. 50-61. doi: 10.1080/03610926.2017.1366523

England, P. D., Verrall, R. J. ORCID: 0000-0003-4098-9792 & Wüthrich, M. V. (2019). On the lifetime and one-year views of reserve risk, with application to IFRS 17 and Solvency II risk margins. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 85, pp. 74-88. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2018.12.002

Espasandín-Domínguez, J., Cadarso-Suárez, C., Kneib, T. , Marra, G., Klein, N., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961, Lado-Baleato, O., González Quintela, A & Gude, F.view all authors (2019). Assessing the relationship between markers of glycemic control through flexible copula regression models. Statistics in Medicine, 38(27), pp. 5161-5181. doi: 10.1002/sim.8358

Fang, L., Cheng, J. & Su, F. (2019). Interconnectedness and Systemic Risk: A Comparative Study Based on Systemically Important Regions. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 54, pp. 147-158. doi: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2019.02.007

Filippou, P., Kneib, T., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2019). A trivariate additive regression model with arbitrary link functions and varying correlation matrix. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 199, pp. 236-248. doi: 10.1016/j.jspi.2018.07.002

Gerrard, R. J. G. ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-8752, Hiabu, M., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817view all authors (2019). Communication and personal selection of pension saver's financial risk. European Journal of Operational Research, 274(3), pp. 1102-1111. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.10.038

Giordano, G., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Russolillo, M. (2019). Coherent modeling of mortality patterns for age-specific subgroups. Decisions in Economics and Finance, 42(1), pp. 189-204. doi: 10.1007/s10203-019-00245-y

Gomes, M., Radice, R., Camarena Brenes, J. & Marra, G.view all authors (2019). Copula selection models for non-Gaussian responses that are missing not at random. Statistics in Medicine, 38(3), pp. 480-496. doi: 10.1002/sim.7988

Guillén, M., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817, Ayuso, M. & Perez-Marin, A. M.view all authors (2019). The use of telematics devices to improve automobile insurance rates. Risk Analysis, 39(3), pp. 662-672. doi: 10.1111/risa.13172

Hillier, J. K., Saville, G., Smith, M. J. , Scott, A. J., Raven, E. K., Gascoigne, J., Slater, L., Quinn, N., Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532, Souch, C., Leckebusch, G. C., Macdonald, N., Loxton, J., Wilebore, R., Collins, A., MacKechnie, C., Tweddle, J., Milner, A. M., Moller, S., Dove, M., Langford, H. & Craig, J.view all authors (2019). Demystifying academics to enhance university-business collaborations in environmental science. Geoscience Communication, 2(1), pp. 1-23. doi: 10.5194/gc-2-1-2019

Klein, N., Kneib, T., Marra, G. , Radice, R., Rokicki, S. R. & McGovern, M.view all authors (2019). Mixed Binary-Continuous Copula Regression Models with Application to Adverse Birth Outcomes. Statistics in Medicine, 38(3), pp. 413-436. doi: 10.1002/sim.7985

Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175 (2019). Firm's Demand for Insurance: An Explorative Approach. Risk Management and Insurance Review, 22(3), pp. 279-301. doi: 10.1111/rmir.12128

Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X, Pantelous, A. A., Sermpinis, G. & Zenios, S. A.view all authors (2019). Preface: application of operations research to financial markets. Annals of Operations Research, 282(1-2), pp. 1-2. doi: 10.1007/s10479-019-03400-1

Lee, Y. K., Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Park, B. U.view all authors (2019). Generalised additive dependency inflated models including aggregated covariates. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 13(1), pp. 67-93. doi: 10.1214/18-ejs1515

Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817, Scholz, M. & Sperlich, S.view all authors (2019). Conditional variance forecasts for long-term stock returns. Risks, 7(4), article number 113. doi: 10.3390/risks7040113

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2019). The Last-Time Buyer: housing and finance for an ageing society (130). London, UK: CSFI.

Owadally, M. I ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Zhou, F., Otunba, R. , Lin, J. & Wright, I. D.view all authors (2019). Time Series Data Mining with an Application to the Measurement of Underwriting Cycles. North American Actuarial Journal, 23(3), pp. 469-484. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2019.1570468

Owadally, M. I ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Zhou, F., Otunba, R. , Lin, J. & Wright, I. D.view all authors (2019). An agent-based system with temporal data mining for monitoring financial stability on insurance markets. Expert Systems with Applications, 123, pp. 270-282. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2019.01.049

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2019). Reverse sensitivity testing: What does it take to break the model?. European Journal of Operational Research, 274(2), pp. 654-670. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2018.10.003

Simper, R., Dadoukis, A. & Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851 (2019). European bank loan loss provisioning and efficient technological innovative progress. International Review of Financial Analysis, 63, pp. 119-130. doi: 10.1016/j.irfa.2019.03.001

Tan, S. (2019). Boundary–crossing probabilities for stochastic processes and their applications. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

2018

Ashby, S., Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851 & Ring, P. (2018). Risk and the Strategic Role of Leadership. London, UK: ACCA.

Asimit, A.V., Gao, T., Hu, J. & Kim, E.view all authors (2018). Optimal Risk Transfer: A Numerical Optimisation Approach. North American Actuarial Journal, 22(3), pp. 341-364. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2017.1421472

Asimit, A.V. & Li, J. (2018). Measuring the Tail Risk: An Asymptotic Approach. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 463(1), pp. 176-197. doi: 10.1016/j.jmaa.2018.03.019

Asimit, A.V. ORCID: 0000-0002-7706-0066 & Li, J. (2018). Systemic risk: an asymptotic evaluation. ASTIN Bulletin, 48(2), pp. 673-698. doi: 10.1017/asb.2017.38

Asimit, A.V. & Boonen, T. J. (2018). Insurance with multiple insurers: A game-theoretic approach. European Journal of Operational Research, 267(2), pp. 778-790. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.12.026

Bacinello, A. R., Chen, A. & Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 (2018). The impact of longevity and investment risk on a portfolio of life insurance liabilities. European Actuarial Journal, 8(2), pp. 257-290. doi: 10.1007/s13385-018-0175-5

Bacinello, A. R., Millossovich, P. & Chen, A. (2018). Longevity impact on life insurers in low interest rate environment. The European Actuary, 18(2018), pp. 16-18.

Bolance, C., Guillén, M., Nielsen, J. P. & Thuring, F.view all authors (2018). Exposure to risk and zero accident claims in automobile insurance. Risks, 6(1), article number 9. doi: 10.3390/risks6010009

Braumoeller, B. F., Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Bradshaw, A. E.view all authors (2018). Flexible Causal Inference for Political Science. Political Analysis, 26(1), pp. 54-71. doi: 10.1017/pan.2017.29

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Dowling, M. & Lucey, B. (2018). To truly judge the quality of research, read it. Time Higher Education,

Chen, R. & Millossovich, P. (2018). Sex-specific mortality forecasting for UK countries: a coherent approach. European Actuarial Journal, 8(1), pp. 69-95. doi: 10.1007/s13385-017-0164-0

Chronopoulos, M., Panaousis, E. & Grossklags, J. (2018). An Options Approach to Cybersecurity Investment. IEEE Access, 6, pp. 12175-12186. doi: 10.1109/access.2017.2773366

D'Amato, V., di Lorenzo, E., Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 , Sagoo, P. & Sibillo, M.view all authors (2018). De-risking strategy: Longevity spread buy-in. Insurance Mathematics and Economics, 79, pp. 124-136. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2018.01.004

Dimitrova, D. S. ORCID: 0000-0003-3169-2735, Kaishev, V. K. & Ignatov, Z. G. (2018). Ruin and Deficit Under Claim Arrivals with the Order Statistics Property. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, doi: 10.1007/s11009-018-9669-5

Donnelly, C., Guillén, M., Nielsen, J. P. & Pérez-Marín, A. M.view all authors (2018). Implementing individual savings decisions for retirement with bounds on wealth. ASTIN Bulletin, 48(1), pp. 111-137. doi: 10.1017/asb.2017.34

Gerrard, R. J. G. ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-8752, Hiabu, M., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817view all authors (2018). Self-selection and risk sharing in a modern world of life-long annuities. British Actuarial Journal, 23, article number e30. doi: 10.1017/s135732171800020x

Gerrard, R. J. G. ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-8752, Hiabu, M., Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817view all authors (2018). Self-selection and risk sharing in a modern world of lifelong annuities - Abstract of the London Discussion. British Actuarial Journal, 23(e29), article number e29. doi: 10.1017/s1357321718000272

Gámiz Pérez, M. L., Martinez-Miranda, M. D. & Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 (2018). Multiplicative local linear hazard estimation and best one-sided cross-validation. Journal of Machine Learning, 20, pp. 1-29.

Haberman, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2269-9759 & Shang, H.L. (2018). Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality. Genus, 74(1), article number 19. doi: 10.1186/s41118-018-0043-9

Hu, J. (2018). Theoretical and empirical study on optimal insurance and reinsurance design. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175 & Thomann, C. (2018). Aspekte der Versicherung von Unternehmen. In: Schulenburg, J. (Ed.), Festschrift for Prof. dr. J.-Matthias Graf von der Schulenburg. (pp. 95-127). Karlsruhe: Verlag Versicherungswissenschaft.

Kyriakou, I., Pouliasis, P. K., Papapostolou, N. C. & Nomikos, N. ORCID: 0000-0003-1621-2991view all authors (2018). Income Uncertainty and the Decision to Invest in Bulk Shipping. European Financial Management, 24(3), pp. 387-417. doi: 10.1111/eufm.12132

Lee, Y. K., Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. P. ORCID: 0000-0002-2798-0817 & Park, B. P.view all authors (2018). In-sample forecasting: A brief review and new algorithms. ALEA - Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical Statistics, 15(2), pp. 875-895. doi: 10.30757/alea.v15-33

Margraf, C., Elpidorou, V. & Verrall, R. J. (2018). Claims reserving in the presence of excess-of-loss reinsurance using micro models based on aggregate data. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 80, pp. 54-65. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2018.03.001

Mayhew, L. (2018). The Dependency Trap - are we fit enough to face the future?. London: Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation (CSFI).

Mayhew, L., Smith, D. & Wright, I. D. (2018). The effect of longevity drift and investment volatility on income sufficiency in retirement. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 78, pp. 201-211. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.09.013

Millossovich, P., Villegas, A.M. & Kaishev, V. K. (2018). StMoMo: An R Package for Stochastic Mortality Modelling. Journal of Statistical Software, 84(3), pp. 1-38. doi: 10.18637/jss.v084.i03

Owadally, M. I ORCID: 0000-0002-0830-3554, Zhou, F. & Wright, I. D. (2018). The Insurance Industry as a Complex Social System: Competition, Cycles, and Crises. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 21(4), article number 2. doi: 10.18564/jasss.3819

Pesenti, S. M. (2018). Robustness and sensitivity of risk evaluations. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, Cass Business School, City, University of London)

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2018). Euler allocations in the presence of non-linear reinsurance: comment on Major (2018). Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 83, pp. 29-31. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2018.09.001

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. ORCID: 0000-0001-8269-7507 & Tsanakas, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-4552-5532 (2018). Euler allocations in the presence of non-linear reinsurance: comment on Major (2018). .

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. & Tsanakas, A. (2018). Reverse sensitivity testing: What does it take to break the model?. .

Pouliasis, P. K. ORCID: 0000-0002-7389-3722, Papapostolou, N. C. ORCID: 0000-0003-4529-1182, Kyriakou, I. ORCID: 0000-0001-9592-596X & Visvikis, I.D.view all authors (2018). Shipping equity risk behavior and portfolio management. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 116, pp. 178-200. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2018.06.016

Rickayzen, B. D. ORCID: 0000-0002-0433-0870, Klohn, F. & Karlsson, M. (2018). The Role of Heterogeneous Parameters for the Detection of Selection in Insurance Contracts. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 83, pp. 110-121. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2018.08.002

Tsanakas, A. & Cabantous, L. (2018). The Model Ajar: Building Rationality Infrastructures within Insurance Organizations. .

Wang, Z., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Fukui, K. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2018). Cone-based joint sparse modelling for hyperspectral image classification. Signal Processing, 144, pp. 417-429. doi: 10.1016/j.sigpro.2017.11.001

Wojtys, M., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2018). Copula based generalized additive models for location, scale and shape with non-random sample selection. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 127, pp. 1-14. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2018.05.001

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Wang, Z., Ma, Z. , Wang, G. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2018). LRID: A new metric of multi-class imbalance degree based on likelihood-ratio test. Pattern Recognition Letters, 116, pp. 36-42. doi: 10.1016/j.patrec.2018.09.012

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Dong, M. & Xue, J-H. (2018). Learning distance to subspace for the nearest subspace methods in high-dimensional data classification. Information Sciences, 481, pp. 69-80. doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2018.12.061

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Zhou, F. & Xue, J-H. (2018). MvSSIM: A quality assessment index for hyperspectral images. Neurocomputing, 272, pp. 250-257. doi: 10.1016/j.neucom.2017.06.073

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Zhou, F., Yang, W. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2018). On Hypothesis Testing for Comparing Image Quality Assessment Metrics [Tips & Tricks]. IEEE Signal Processing Magazine, 35(4), pp. 133-136. doi: 10.1109/msp.2018.2829209

2017

Asimit, A.V., Bignozzi, V., Cheung, K. C. , Hu, J. & Kim, E.view all authors (2017). Robust and Pareto Optimality of Insurance Contract. European Journal of Operational Research, 262(2), pp. 720-732. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.04.029

Black, R., Tsanakas, A., Smith, A. , Beck, M. B., Maclugash, I. D., Grewal, J., Witts, L., Morjaria, N., Green, R. & Lim, Z.view all authors (2017). Model risk: illuminating the black box. British Actuarial Journal, 23, article number e2. doi: 10.1017/s1357321717000150

Boonen, T. J., Tsanakas, A. & Wuethrich, M. V. (2017). Capital allocation for portfolios with non-linear risk aggregation. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 72, pp. 95-106. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.11.003

Bräutigam, M., Guillén, M. & Nielsen, J. P. (2017). Facing Up to Longevity with Old Actuarial Methods: A Comparison of Pooled Funds and Income Tontines. Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance: Issues and Practice, 42(3), pp. 406-422. doi: 10.1057/s41288-017-0056-1

Chen, A. (2017). The impact of behavioral factors on annuitisation decisions and decumulation strategies. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Chen, A., Haberman, S. & Thomas, S. (2017). Why the deferred annuity makes sense - an application of hyperbolic discounting to the annuity puzzle. Paper presented at the International Actuarial Association Life Colloquium, 23-24 Oct 2017, Barcelona, Spain.

Chronopoulos, M., Hagspiel, V. & Fleten, S-K. (2017). Stepwise investment and capacity sizing under uncertainty. OR Spectrum, 39(2), pp. 447-472. doi: 10.1007/s00291-016-0460-0

Chronopoulos, M. & Lumbreras, S. (2017). Optimal regime switching under risk aversion and uncertainty. European Journal of Operational Research, 256(2), pp. 543-555. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2016.06.027

Debon, A., Chaves, L., Haberman, S. & Villa, F.view all authors (2017). Characterization of between-group inequality of longevity in European Union countries. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 75, pp. 151-165. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.05.005

Dimitrova, D. S., Ignatov, Z. G. & Kaishev, V. K. (2017). On the First Crossing of Two Boundaries by an Order Statistics Risk Process. Risks, 5(3), article number 43. doi: 10.3390/risks5030043

Dimitrova, D. S., Kaishev, V. K., Lattuada, L. & Verrall, R. J.view all authors (2017). Geometrically Designed Variable Knot Splines in Generalized (Non-)Linear Models.

Filippou, P., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2017). Penalized likelihood estimation of a trivariate additive probit model. Biostatistics, 18(3), pp. 569-585. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxx008

Gonzalez-Manteiga, W, Borrajo, MI & Martinez-Miranda, M. D. (2017). Bandwidth selection for kernel density estimation with length-biased data. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 29(3), pp. 636-668. doi: 10.1080/10485252.2017.1339309

Haberman, S., Ntamjokouen, A. & Consigli, G. (2017). Projecting the long run relationship of multi-population life expectancy by race. Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, 6(2), pp. 43-68.

Hiabu, M. (2017). On the relationship between classical chain ladder and granular reserving. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2017(8), pp. 708-729. doi: 10.1080/03461238.2016.1240709

Kenny, T., Barnfield, J., Daly, L. , Dunn, A., Passey, D., Rickayzen, B. D. & Teow, A.view all authors (2017). The future of social care funding: who pays?. British Actuarial Journal, 22(1), pp. 10-44. doi: 10.1017/s135732171600012x

Lee, Y. K., Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. P. & Park, B. U.view all authors (2017). Operational time and in-sample density forecasting. Annals of Statistics, 45(3), pp. 1312-1341. doi: 10.1214/16-aos1486

Margraf, C. (2017). On the use of micro models for claims reversing based on aggregate data. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2017). Bivariate copula additive models for location, scale and shape. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 112, pp. 99-113. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2017.03.004

Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2017). A joint regression modeling framework for analyzing bivariate binary data in R. Dependence Modeling, 5(1), pp. 268-294. doi: 10.1515/demo-2017-0016

Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961, Bärnighausen, T. , Wood, S. N. & McGovern, M. E.view all authors (2017). A Simultaneous Equation Approach to Estimating HIV Prevalence With Nonignorable Missing Responses. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 112(518), pp. 484-496. doi: 10.1080/01621459.2016.1224713

Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Filippou, P. (2017). Regression spline bivariate probit models: A practical approach to testing for exogeneity. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation, 46(3), pp. 2283-2298. doi: 10.1080/03610918.2015.1041974

Mayhew, L. (2017). Means Testing Adult Social Care in England. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 42(3), pp. 500-529. doi: 10.1057/s41288-016-0041-0

Mayhew, L., Smith, D. & O’Leary, D. (2017). Paying for Care Costs in Later Life Using the Value in People’s Homes. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 42(1), pp. 129-151. doi: 10.1057/gpp.2015.34

Rickayzen, B. D., Smith, D. & Mayhew, L. (2017). Flexible and affordable methods of paying for long term care insurance. International Longevity Centre – UK (ILC-UK)/Cass Business School.

Schumacher, R. (2017). Improving the capacity of radio spectrum: exploration of the acyclic orientations of a graph. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Shang, H.L. & Haberman, S. (2017). Grouped multivariate and functional time series forecasting: an application to annuity pricing. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 75, pp. 166-179. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.05.007

Shang, H.L. & Haberman, S. (2017). Grouped multivariate and functional time series forecasting: an application to annuity pricing. In: 2017 Living to 100 Monograph. . USA: Society of Actuaries.

Villegas, A., Haberman, S., Kaishev, V. K. & Millossovich, P.view all authors (2017). A comparative study of two population models for the assessment of basis risk in longevity hedges. ASTIN Bulletin, 47(3), pp. 631-679. doi: 10.1017/asb.2017.18

Wang, Z., Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Fukui, K. & Xue, J-H.view all authors (2017). Matched Shrunken Cone Detector (MSCD): Bayesian Derivations and Case Studies for Hyperspectral Target Detection. IEEE Transactions on Image Processing, 26(11), pp. 5447-5461. doi: 10.1109/tip.2017.2740621

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Fukui, K. & Xue, J-H. (2017). Building a discriminatively ordered subspace on the generating matrix to classify high-dimensional spectral data. Information Sciences, 382-383, pp. 1-14. doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2016.12.001

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369 & Xue, J-H. (2017). On the orthogonal distance to class subspaces for high-dimensional data classification. Information Sciences, 417, pp. 262-273. doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2017.07.019

2016

Aggarwal, A., Beck, M. B., Cann, M. , Ford, T., Georgescu, D., Morjaria, N., Smith, A., Taylor, Y., Tsanakas, A., Witts, L. & Ye, I.view all authors (2016). Model risk – daring to open up the black box. British Actuarial Journal, 21(2), pp. 229-296. doi: 10.1017/s1357321715000276

Asimit, A.V., Furman, E. & Vernic, R. (2016). Statistical Inference for a New Class of Multivariate Pareto Distributions. Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation, 45(2), pp. 456-471. doi: 10.1080/03610918.2013.861627

Asimit, A.V., Badescu, A., Haberman, S. & Kim, E-S.view all authors (2016). Efficient risk allocation within a non-life insurance group under Solvency II Regime. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 66, pp. 69-76. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.10.008

Asimit, A.V. & Gerrard, R. J. G. (2016). On the worst and least possible asymptotic dependence. Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 144, pp. 218-234. doi: 10.1016/j.jmva.2015.11.004

Asimit, A.V., Gerrard, R. J. G., Yanxi, H. & Peng, L.view all authors (2016). Tail Dependence Measure for Examining Financial Extreme Co-movements. Journal of Econometrics, 194(2), pp. 330-348. doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2016.05.011

Asimit, A.V. & Li, J. (2016). Extremes for coherent risk measures. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 71, pp. 332-341. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.10.003

Asimit, A.V., Vernic, R. & Zitikis, R. (2016). Background Risk Models and Stepwise Portfolio Construction. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 18(3), pp. 805-827. doi: 10.1007/s11009-015-9458-3

Bacinello, A. R., Millossovich, P. & Montealegre, A. (2016). The valuation of GMWB variable annuities under alternative fund distributions and policyholder behaviours. Scandiavian Actuarial Journal, 2016(5), pp. 446-465. doi: 10.1080/03461238.2014.954608

Biffis, E., Blake, D., Pitotti, L. & Sun, A.view all authors (2016). The Cost of Counterparty Risk and Collateralization in Longevity Swaps. Journal Of Risk And Insurance, 83(2), pp. 387-419. doi: 10.1111/jori.12055

Bignozzi, V. & Tsanakas, A. (2016). Model uncertainty in risk capital measurement. Journal of Risk, 18(3), pp. 1-24. doi: 10.21314/j0r.2016.326

Bignozzi, V. & Tsanakas, A. (2016). Parameter uncertainty and residual estimation risk. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 83(4), pp. 949-978. doi: 10.1111/jori.12075

Blake, D. (2016). Independent Review of Retirement Income Report: We Need a National Narrative: Building a Consensus around Retirement Income. UK: Independent Review of Retirement Income.

Blyth, W., Bunn, D., Chronopoulos, M. & Munoz, J.view all authors (2016). Systematic analysis of the evolution of electricity and carbon markets under deep decarbonization. Journal of Energy Markets, 9(3), pp. 59-94. doi: 10.21314/jem.2016.150

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Webb, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-8862-6491, Cheevers, C. , Ring, P. & Clark, G.view all authors (2016). Should the insurance industry be banking on risk escalation for solvency II?. International Review of Financial Analysis, 46, pp. 131-139. doi: 10.1016/j.irfa.2016.04.014

Cannon, E. (2016). Independent Review of Retirement Income: Consultation. UK: Independent Review of Retirement Income.

Chronopoulos, M., Hagspiel, V. & Fleten, S-K. (2016). Stepwise Green Investment under Policy Uncertainty. Energy Journal, 37(4), pp. 87-108. doi: 10.5547/01956574.37.4.mchr

D'Amato, V., Haberman, S., Piscopo, G. , Russolillo, M. & Trapani, L.view all authors (2016). Multiple mortality modeling in Poisson Lee-Carter framework. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 45(6), pp. 1723-1732. doi: 10.1080/03610926.2014.960580

Dimitrova, D. S., Kaishev, V. K. & Zhao, S. (2016). On the evaluation of finite-time ruin probabilities in a dependent risk model. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 275, pp. 268-286. doi: 10.1016/j.amc.2015.11.082

Fusai, G. & Kyriakou, I. (2016). General optimized lower and upper bounds for discrete and continuous arithmetic Asian options. Mathematics of Operations Research, 41(2), pp. 531-559. doi: 10.1287/moor.2015.0739

Godínez-Olivares, H., Boado-Penas, M. D. C. & Haberman, S. (2016). Optimal strategies for pay-as-you-go pension finance: A sustainability framework. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 69, pp. 117-126. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.05.001

González-Manteiga, W., Martinez-Miranda, M. D. & Van Keilegom, I. (2016). Goodness-of-fit test in parametric mixed effects models based on estimation of the error distribution. Biometrika, 103(1), pp. 133-146. doi: 10.1093/biomet/asv061

Gámiz Pérez, M. L., Mammen, E., Miranda, M. D. M. & Nielsen, J. P.view all authors (2016). Double one-sided cross-validation of local linear hazards. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 78(4), pp. 755-779. doi: 10.1111/rssb.12133

Haibu, M., Margraf, C., Miranda, M. D. M. & Nielsen, J. P.view all authors (2016). Cash flow generalisations of non-life insurance expert systems estimating outstanding liabilities. Expert Systems with Applications, 45, pp. 400-409. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2015.09.021

Haibu, M., Margraf, C., Miranda, M. D. M. & Nielsen, J. P.view all authors (2016). The Link Between Classical Reserving and Granular Reserving Through Double Chain Ladder and its Extensions. British Actuarial Journal, 21(1), pp. 97-116. doi: 10.1017/s1357321715000288

Harper, G. & Mayhew, L. (2016). Using Administrative Data to Count and Classify Households with Local Applications. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 9(4), pp. 433-462. doi: 10.1007/s12061-015-9162-2

Hiabu, M. (2016). In-sample forecasting: structured models and reserving. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Hiabu, M., Mammen, E., Martinez-Miranda, M. D. & Nielsen, J. P.view all authors (2016). In-Sample Forecasting with Local Linear Survival Densities. Biometrika, 103(4), pp. 843-859. doi: 10.1093/biomet/asw038

Ignatov, Z. G. & Kaishev, V. K. (2016). First crossing time, overshoot and Appell-Hessenberg type functions. Stochastics: An International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 88(8), pp. 1240-1260. doi: 10.1080/17442508.2016.1230613

Kaishev, V. K., Dimitrova, D. S., Haberman, S. & Verrall, R. J.view all authors (2016). Geometrically designed, variable knot regression splines. Computational Statistics, 31(3), pp. 1079-1105. doi: 10.1007/s00180-015-0621-7

Kreif, N., Gruber, S., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 , Grieve, R. & Sekhon, J. S.view all authors (2016). Evaluating treatment effectiveness under model misspecification: A comparison of targeted maximum likelihood estimation with bias-corrected matching. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 25(5), pp. 2315-2336. doi: 10.1177/0962280214521341

Krummaker, S. ORCID: 0000-0003-2471-8175 (2016). Corporate Demand for Insurance: Empirical Evidence from Germany. .

Luciano, E., Spreeuw, J. & Vigna, E. (2016). Spouses’ Dependence across Generations and Pricing Impact on Reversionary Annuities. Risks, 4(2), article number 16. doi: 10.3390/risks4020016

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, B. & Nielsen, J. P. (2016). A simple benchmark for mesothelioma projection for Great Britain. Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 73(8), pp. 561-563. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2015-103303

Mayhew, L. (2016). Means Testing Social Care in England. UK: International Longevity Centre.

Mayhew, L. & Smith, D. (2016). Decomposition of Life Expectancy at Older Ages and Prospects for Ageing Populations. In: Lombard, J., Stern, E. & Clarke, G. (Eds.), Applied Spatial Modelling and Planning. (pp. 172-188). Routledge.

Mayhew, L. & Smith, D. (2016). An investigation into inequalities in adult lifespan. UK: International Longevity Centre- UK.

Papapostolou, N. C., Pouliasis, P. K., Nomikos, N. ORCID: 0000-0003-1621-2991 & Kyriakou, I.view all authors (2016). Shipping Investor Sentiment and International Stock Return Predictability. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 96, pp. 81-94. doi: 10.1016/j.tre.2016.10.006

Pesenti, S. M., Millossovich, P. & Tsanakas, A. (2016). Robustness Regions for Measures of Risk Aggregation. Dependence Modeling, 4(1), pp. 348-367. doi: 10.1515/demo-2016-0020

Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961, Marra, G. & Wojtys, M. (2016). Copula regression spline models for binary outcomes. Statistics and Computing, 26(5), pp. 981-995. doi: 10.1007/s11222-015-9581-6

Ring, P. J., Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, McKinney, R. & Webb, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-8862-6491view all authors (2016). Taking notice of risk culture – the regulator’s approach. Journal of Risk Research, 19(3), pp. 364-387. doi: 10.1080/13669877.2014.983944

Scholz, M., Sperlich, S. & Nielsen, J. P. (2016). Nonparametric long term prediction of stock returns with generated bond yields. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 69(July 2), pp. 82-96. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2016.04.007

Tsanakas, A. (2016). Making a Market for Acts of God: The Practice of Risk-Trading in the Global Reinsurance Industry. Journal Of Risk And Insurance, 83(2), pp. 501-504. doi: 10.1111/jori.12160

Wojtys, M., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2016). Copula Regression Spline Sample Selection Models: The R Package SemiParSampleSel. Journal of Statistical Software, 71(6), pp. 1-66. doi: 10.18637/jss.v071.i06

2015

Asimit, A.V., Badescu, A., Siu, T. K. & Zinchenko, Y.view all authors (2015). Capital Requirements and Optimal Investment with Solvency Probability Constraints. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 26(4), pp. 345-375. doi: 10.1093/imaman/dpt029

Asimit, A.V. & Chen, Y. (2015). Asymptotic results for conditional measures of association of a random sum. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 60, pp. 11-18. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2014.10.012

Asimit, A.V., Chi, Y. & Hu, J. (2015). Optimal non-life reinsurance under Solvency II Regime. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 65, pp. 227-237. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.09.006

Asimit, A.V., Hashorva, E. & Kortschak, D. (2015). Aggregation of randomly weighted large risks. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 28(3), doi: 10.1093/imaman/dpv020

Boyer, M. M. & Owadally, I. (2015). Underwriting Apophenia and Cryptids: Are Cycles Statistical Figments of our Imagination?. The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, 40(2), pp. 232-255. doi: 10.1057/gpp.2014.12

Boyko, V., Dubrovina, N., Zamiatin, P. , Gerrard, R. J. G., Gurov, A., Sushkov, S., Lazirskiy, V., Ivanova, Y. & Zamiatin, D.view all authors (2015). The Analysis of Injuries and Mortality Risks Level as a Result of Road Accident in Regions of the Central and Eastern Europe. International Journal of Managerial Studies and Research, 3(8), pp. 85-94.

Boyko, V., Dubrovina, N., Zamyatin, P. , Gerrard, R. J. G., Savvi, S., Lazirskiy, V., Ghydetskyy, V., Sinelnikov, A., Zamiatin, D., Kolesnikova, O. & Shaprynskyy, E.view all authors (2015). Epidemiology and Forecast of the Prevalence of Esophageal Cancer in the Countries of Central and Eastern Europe. Procedia Economics and Finance, 24, pp. 93-100. doi: 10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00622-X

Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851, Dadoukis, A., Hall, M. , Nguyen, L. & Simper, R.view all authors (2015). An analysis of loan loss provisioning behaviour in Vietnamese banking. Finance Research Letters, 14, pp. 69-75. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.05.014

Danesi, I. L., Haberman, S. & Millossovich, P. (2015). Forecasting mortality in subpopulations using Lee-Carter type models: A comparison. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 62, pp. 151-161. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.03.010

Denuit, M., Haberman, S. & Renshaw, A. E. (2015). Longevity-contingent deferred life annuities. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, 14(3), pp. 315-327. doi: 10.1017/s147474721400050x

Dimitrova, D. S., Ignatov, Z. G. & Kaishev, V. K. (2015). Ruin and deficit at ruin under an extended order statistics risk process. Paper presented at the IME 2015, 24-26 Jun 2015, Liverpool, UK.

Dimitrova, D. S., Kaishev, V. K. & Zhao, S. (2015). Modeling Finite-Time Failure Probabilities in Risk Analysis Applications. Risk Analysis, 35(10), pp. 1919-1939. doi: 10.1111/risa.12384

Donnelly, C., Gerrard, R. J. G., Montserrat, G. & Nielsen, J. P.view all authors (2015). Less is more: increasing retirement gains by using an upside terminal wealth constraint. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 64(Septem), pp. 259-267. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.06.003

Haslip, G. G. & Kaishev, V. K. (2015). A Novel Fourier Transform B-spline Method for Option Pricing. Journal of Computational Finance, 19(1), pp. 41-74.

Hatzopoulos, P. & Haberman, S. (2015). Modeling trends in cohort survival probabilities. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 64, pp. 162-179. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.05.009

Hiabu, M., Miranda, M. D. M., Nielsen, J. P. , Spreeuw, J., Tanggaard, C. & Villegas, A.view all authors (2015). Global Polynomial Kernel Hazard Estimation. Revista Colombiana de Estadística, 38(2), pp. 399-411. doi: 10.15446/rce.v38n2.51668

Hunt, A. (2015). Mortality modelling and longevity risk management. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City University London)

Kim, E-S. & Glass, C. (2015). Perfect periodic scheduling for binary tree routing in wireless networks. European Journal of Operational Research, 247(2), pp. 389-400. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.031

Li, J. & Haberman, S. (2015). On the effectiveness of natural hedging for insurance companies and pension plans. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 61, pp. 286-297. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.01.009

López-Montoya, A.J., Gámiz-Pérez, M.L. & Martinez-Miranda, M. D. (2015). Local linear smoothing to estimate accelerated lifetime model with censoring and truncation. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 39(16), pp. 4630-4645. doi: 10.1016/j.apm.2015.03.063

Mammen, E., Martinez-Miranda, M. D. & Nielsen, J. P. (2015). In-Sample Forecasting Applied to Reserving and Mesothelioma Mortality. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 61, pp. 76-86. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2014.12.001

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, B. & Nielsen, J. P. (2015). Inference and forecasting in the age-period-cohort model with unknown exposure with an application to mesothelioma mortality. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 178(1), pp. 29-55. doi: 10.1111/rssa.12051

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P., Verrall, R. J. & Wüthrich, M. V.view all authors (2015). Double chain ladder, claims development inflation and zero-claims. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2015(5), pp. 383-405. doi: 10.1080/03461238.2013.823459

Mayhew, L. & Smith, D. (2015). A jam-jar model of life expectancy and limits to life. International Longevity Centre - UK (ILC-UK).

Mayhew, L., Smith, D. & Wright, I. D. (2015). Pension pots and how to survive them. London: International Longevity Centre (ILC-UK).

McGovern, M. E., Baernighausen, T., Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2015). On the Assumption of Bivariate Normality in Selection Models A Copula Approach Applied to Estimating HIV Prevalence. Epidemiology, 26(2), pp. 229-237. doi: 10.1097/ede.0000000000000218

McGovern, M. E., Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 , Canning, D., Newell, M-L. & Bärnighausen, T.view all authors (2015). Adjusting HIV prevalence estimates for non-participation: an application to demographic surveillance. Journal of the International AIDS Society, 18(1), article number 19954. doi: 10.7448/ias.18.1.19954

Nielsen, J. P., Young, K., Mammen, E. & Byeong, U. Pview all authors (2015). Asymptotics for In-Sample Density Forecasting. Annals of Statistics, 43(2), pp. 620-651. doi: 10.1214/14-aos1288

Scholz, M., Nielsen, J. P. & Sperlich, S. (2015). Nonparametric Prediction of Stock Returns Based on Yearly Data: The Long-Term View. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 65(Novemb), pp. 143-155. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.09.011

Verrall, R. J. & Wüthrich, M. V. (2015). Parameter Reduction in Log-normal Chain-ladder Models. European Actuarial Journal, 5(2), pp. 355-380. doi: 10.1007/s13385-015-0114-7

Villegas Ramirez, Andres (2015). Mortality: modelling, socio-economic differences and basis risk. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City University London)

Wang, R., Bignozzi, V. & Tsanakas, A. (2015). How Superadditive Can a Risk Measure Be?. SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 6(1), pp. 776-803. doi: 10.1137/140981046

Zanin, L., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Marra, G. (2015). Modelling the impact of women's education on fertility in Malawi. Journal of Population Economics, 28(1), pp. 89-111. doi: 10.1007/s00148-013-0502-8

2014

Agbeko, T., Hiabu, M., Miranda, M. D. M. , Nielsen, J. P. & Verrall, R. J.view all authors (2014). Validating the double chain ladder stochastic claims reserving model. Variance: advancing the science of risk, 8(2), pp. 138-160.

Ashwell, M., Mayhew, L., Richardson, J. & Rickayzen, B. D.view all authors (2014). Waist-to-Height Ratio Is More Predictive of Years of Life Lost than Body Mass Index. PLoS One, 9(9), article number e103483. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0103483

Butt, Z. (2014). A Study of Actuarial Models for Insurance Based Applications. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City, University of London)

Cowell, R., Graversen, T., Lauritzen, S. L. & Mortera, J.view all authors (2014). Analysis of forensic DNA mixtures with artefacts. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics, 64(1), pp. 1-48. doi: 10.1111/rssc.12071

Cowell, R. & Smith, J. Q. (2014). Causal discovery through MAP selection of stratified chain event graphs. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 8(1), pp. 965-997. doi: 10.1214/14-ejs917

D'Amato, V., Haberman, S., Piscopo, G. & Russolillo, M.view all authors (2014). Computational framework for longevity risk management. Computational Management Science, 11(1-2), pp. 111-137. doi: 10.1007/s10287-013-0178-2

D'Amato, V., Haberman, S., Piscopo, G. , Russolillo, M. & Trapani, L.view all authors (2014). Detecting Common Longevity Trends by a Multiple Population Approach. North American Actuarial Journal, 18(1), pp. 139-149. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2013.875884

Dimitrova, D. S., Kaishev, V. K. & Haberman, S. (2014). Improved estimation of mortality and life expectancy for each constituent country of the UK and beyond. Research Excellence Framework (REF).

Gerrard, R. J. G., Guillén, M., Nielsen, J. P. & Pérez-Marín, A. M.view all authors (2014). Long-run savings and investment strategy optimization. The Scientific World Journal, 2014, pp. 1-13. doi: 10.1155/2014/510531

Guillén, M., Jarner, S. F., Nielsen, J. P. & Pérez-Marín, A. M.view all authors (2014). Risk-adjusted impact of administrative costs on the distribution of terminal wealth for long-term investment. Scientific World Journal, 2014, pp. 1-12. doi: 10.1155/2014/521074

Haslip, G. G. & Kaishev, V. K. (2014). Lookback option pricing using the Fourier transform B-spline method. Quantitative Finance, 14(5), pp. 789-803. doi: 10.1080/14697688.2014.882010

Ieva, F., Marra, G., Paganoni, A. M. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961view all authors (2014). A Semiparametric Bivariate Probit Model for Joint Modeling of Outcomes in STEMI Patients. Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine, 2014, pp. 1-7. doi: 10.1155/2014/240435

Kim, E-S. & Glass, C. (2014). Perfect periodic scheduling for three basic cycles. Journal of Scheduling, 17(1), pp. 47-65. doi: 10.1007/s10951-013-0331-3

Mammen, E., Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P. & Sperlich, S.view all authors (2014). Further theoretical and practical insight to the do-validated bandwidth selector. Journal of the Korean Statistical Society, 43(3), pp. 355-365. doi: 10.1016/j.jkss.2013.11.001

Marra, G., Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 & Missiroli, S. (2014). Testing the hypothesis of absence of unobserved confounding in semiparametric bivariate probit models. Computational Statistics, 29(3-4), pp. 715-741. doi: 10.1007/s00180-013-0458-x

Mayhew, L. & O'Leary, D. (2014). Unlocking the potential. UK: Demos.

Mayhew, L. & Smith, D. (2014). Personal Care Savings Bonds: A New Way of Saving Towards Social Care in Later Life. The Geneva Papers On Risk And Insurance: Issues And Practice, 39(4), pp. 668-692. doi: 10.1057/gpp.2014.30

Mayhew, L. & Smith, D. (2014). The UK Equity Bank - Towards income security in old age. The International Longevity Centre - UK (ILC-UK).

Millossovich, P., Haberman, S., Kaishev, V. K. , Baxter, S., Gaches, A., Gunnlaugsson, S. & Sison, M.view all authors (2014). Longevity Basis Risk A methodology for assessing basis risk. Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFA) , Life and Longevity Markets Association (LLMA).

Nielsen, B. & Nielsen, J. P. (2014). Identification and forecasting in mortality models. The Scientific World Journal, 2014, pp. 1-24. doi: 10.1155/2014/347043

Owadally, I. (2014). Tail risk in pension funds: An analysis using ARCH models and bilinear processes. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 43(2), pp. 301-331. doi: 10.1007/s11156-013-0373-9

Spreeuw, J. (2014). Archimedean copulas derived from utility functions. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 59, pp. 235-242. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2014.10.002

Villegas, A. & Haberman, S. (2014). On the Modeling and Forecasting of Socioeconomic Mortality Differentials: An Application to Deprivation and Mortality in England. North American Actuarial Journal, 18(1), pp. 168-193. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2013.866034

Webb, R., Watson, D., Ring, P. & Bryce, C. ORCID: 0000-0002-9856-7851view all authors (2014). Pension Confusion, Uncertainty and Trust in Scotland: An Empirical Analysis. Journal of Social Policy, 43(3), pp. 595-613. doi: 10.1017/s0047279414000051

Zaks, Y. & Tsanakas, A. (2014). Optimal capital allocation in a hierarchical corporate structure. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 56(1), pp. 48-55. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2014.02.009

Zhao, Shouqi (2014). Dependent Risk Modelling and Ruin Probability: Numerical Computation and Applications. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City University London)

Zhu, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-9944-0369, Dong, M. & Xue, J-H. (2014). Spectral non-local restoration of hyperspectral images with low-rank property. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, 8(6), pp. 3062-3067. doi: 10.1109/jstars.2014.2370062

2013

Asimit, A.V., Badescu, A. & Tsanakas, A. (2013). Optimal Risk Transfers in Insurance Groups. European Actuarial Journal, 3(1), pp. 159-190. doi: 10.1007/s13385-013-0068-6

Asimit, A.V., Badescu, A. & Cheung, K. C. (2013). Optimal reinsurance in the presence of counterparty default risk. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 53(3), pp. 690-697. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.09.012

Asimit, A.V., Badescu, A. & Verdonck, T. (2013). Optimal risk transfer under quantile-based risk measurers. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 53(1), pp. 252-265. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.05.005

Asimit, A.V., Vernic, R. & Zitikis, R. (2013). Evaluating Risk Measures and Capital Allocations Based on Multi-Losses Driven by a Heavy-Tailed Background Risk: The Multivariate Pareto-II Model. Risks, 1(1), pp. 14-33. doi: 10.3390/risks1010014

Bignozzi, V. & Tsanakas, A. (2013). Characterization and Construction of Sequentially Consistent Risk Measures. SSRN.

Brunovsky, P., Černý, A. & Winkler, M. (2013). A Singular Differential Equation Stemming from an Optimal Control Problem in Financial Economics. Applied Mathematics & Optimization, 68(2), pp. 255-274. doi: 10.1007/s00245-013-9205-5

Cowell, R. (2013). A simple greedy algorithm for reconstructing pedigrees. Theoretical Population Biology, 83(1), pp. 55-63. doi: 10.1016/j.tpb.2012.11.002

Dimitrova, D. S., Haberman, S. & Kaishev, V. K. (2013). Dependent competing risks: Cause elimination and its impact on survival. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 53(2), pp. 464-477. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.07.008

Gámiz Pérez, M. L., Janys, L., Martinez-Miranda, M. D. & Nielsen, J. P.view all authors (2013). Bandwidth selection in marker dependent kernel hazard estimation. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 68, pp. 155-169. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2013.06.010

Gámiz Pérez, M. L., Martinez-Miranda, M. D. & Nielsen, J. P. (2013). Smoothing survival densities in practice. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 58(1), pp. 368-382. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.09.011

Haberman, S., Denuit, M. & Renshaw, A. E. (2013). Approximations for quantiles of life expectancy and annuity values using the parametric improvement rate approach for modelling and projecting mortality. European Actuarial Journal, 3(1), pp. 191-201. doi: 10.1007/s13385-013-0065-9

Haberman, S. & Renshaw, A. E. (2013). Modelling and projecting mortality improvement rates using a cohort perspective. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 53(1), pp. 150-168. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.04.006

Hatzopoulos, P. & Haberman, S. (2013). Common mortality modeling and coherent forecasts. An empirical analysis of worldwide mortality data. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 52(2), pp. 320-337. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.12.009

Kaishev, V. K. (2013). Lévy processes induced by Dirichlet (B-) splines: modelling multivariate asset price dynamics. Mathematical Finance, 23(2), pp. 217-247. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9965.2011.00504.x

Kaishev, V. K., Nielsen, J. P. & Thuring, F. (2013). Optimal customer customer selection for cross-selling of financial services products. Expert Systems with Applications, 40(5), pp. 1748-1757. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2012.09.026

Marra, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2013). A penalized likelihood estimation approach to semiparametric sample selection binary response modeling. Electronic Journal of Statistics, 7(none), pp. 1432-1455. doi: 10.1214/13-ejs814

Marra, G & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2013). Estimation of a regression spline sample selection model. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 61, pp. 158-173. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2012.12.010

Marra, G., Papageorgiou, G. & Radice, R. ORCID: 0000-0002-6316-3961 (2013). Estimation of a Semiparametric Recursive Bivariate Probit Model with Nonparametric Mixing. Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 55(3), pp. 321-342. doi: 10.1111/anzs.12043

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P. & Verrall, R. J. (2013). Double Chain Ladder and Bornhuetter-Ferguson. North American Actuarial Journal, 17(2), pp. 101-113. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2013.793158

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P., Sperlich, S. & Verrall, R. J.view all authors (2013). Continuous Chain Ladder: Reformulating and generalizing a classical insurance problem. Expert Systems with Applications, 40(14), pp. 5588-5603. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2013.04.006

Mayhew, L. & Smith, D. (2013). A new method of projecting populations based on trends in life expectancy and survival. Population Studies: A Journal of Demography, 67(2), pp. 157-170. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2012.740500

Owadally, I., Haberman, S. & Gomez, D. (2013). A Savings Plan with Targeted Contributions. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 80(4), pp. 975-1000. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6975.2012.01485.x

Owadally, I. & Landsman, Z. (2013). A characterization of optimal portfolios under the tail mean-variance criterion. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 52(2), pp. 213-221. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2012.12.004

Spreeuw, J. & Owadally, M. I (2013). Investigating the broken-heart effect: a model for short-term dependence between the remaining lifetimes of joint lives. Annals of Actuarial Science, 7(2), pp. 236-257. doi: 10.1017/s1748499512000292

Spreeuw, J., Nielsen, J. P. & Jarner, S. F. (2013). A nonparametric visual test of mixed hazard models. SORT - Statistics and Operations Research Transactions, 37(2), pp. 153-174.

Tsanakas, A., Wuethrich, M. V. & Černý, A. (2013). Market value margin via mean-variance hedging. ASTIN Bulletin, 43(3), pp. 301-322. doi: 10.1017/asb.2013.18

2012

Bignozzi, Valeria (2012). Contributions to solvency risk measurement. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City University London)

Dhaene, J., Tsanakas, A., Valdez, E. A. & Vanduffel, S.view all authors (2012). Optimal Capital Allocation Principles. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 79(1), pp. 1-28. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6975.2011.01408.x

England, P. D., Verrall, R. J. & Wüthrich, M. V. (2012). Bayesian Overdispersed Poisson Model and the Bornhuetter-Ferguson Claim Reserving Method. Annals of Actuarial Science, 6(2), pp. 258-283. doi: 10.1017/s1748499512000012

Harper, G. & Mayhew, L. (2012). Applications of Population Counts Based on Administrative Data at Local Level. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 5(3), pp. 183-209. doi: 10.1007/s12061-011-9062-z

Harper, G. & Mayhew, L. (2012). Using Administrative Data to Count Local Populations. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 5(2), pp. 97-122. doi: 10.1007/s12061-011-9063-y

Ignatov, Z. G. & Kaishev, V. K. (2012). Finite Time Non-Ruin Probability Formulae for Erlang Claim Interarrivals and Continuous Interdependent Claim Severities. Stochastics: An International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 84(4), pp. 461-485. doi: 10.1080/17442508.2011.615932

Jarzabkowski, P., Bednarek, G., Burke, G. & Cabantous, L.view all authors (2012). Beyond Borders: Charting the Changing Global Reinsurance Landscape. Cass Business School, City University London.

Landsman, Z. & Tsanakas, A. (2012). Parameter Uncertainty in Exponential Family Tail Estimation. ASTIN Bulletin, 42(1), pp. 123-152. doi: 10.2143/AST.42.1.2160738

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P. & Verrall, R. J. (2012). Double Chain Ladder. ASTIN Bulletin, 42(1), pp. 59-76. doi: 10.2143/AST.42.1.216071

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P. & Wuethrich, M. V. (2012). Statistical modelling and forecasting of outstanding liabilities in non-life insurance. SORT, 36(2), pp. 195-218.

Mayhew, L. ORCID: 0000-0002-0380-1757 (2012). The UK Care Economy: Improving outcomes for carers. UK: Carers UK.

Owadally, I. (2012). An improved closed-form solution for the constrained minimization of the root of a quadratic functional. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 236(17), pp. 4428-4435. doi: 10.1016/j.cam.2012.04.014

Owadally, M. I (2012). How to get the most from your piggy bank. InBusiness, 17, p. 34.

Sturdy, P., Bremner, S., Harper, G. , Mayhew, L., Eldridge, S., Eversley, J., Sheikh, A., Hunter, S., Boomla, K., Feder, G., Prescott, K. & Griffiths, C.view all authors (2012). Impact of asthma on educational attainment in a socioeconomically deprived population: a study linking health, education and social care datasets. PLoS One, 7(11), article number e43977. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0043977

Thuring, Fredrik (2012). Multivariate credibility with application to cross-selling financial services products. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City University London)

Tsanakas, A. (2012). Modelling: The elephant in the room. The Actuary, 2012(Septem),

Verrall, R. J., Hossjer, O. & Bjorkwall, S. (2012). Modelling Claims Run-off with Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods. ASTIN Bulletin, 42(1), pp. 35-58. doi: 10.2143/AST.42.1.2160711

Verrall, R. J. & Wüthrich, M. V. (2012). Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo method for parameter reduction in claims reserving. North American Actuarial Journal, 16(2), pp. 240-259. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2012.10590639

2011

Asimit, A.V., Furman, E., Tang, Q. & Vernic, R.view all authors (2011). Asymptotics for risk capital allocations based on Conditional Tail Expectation. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 49(3), pp. 310-324. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2011.05.002

Biffis, E. & Millossovich, P. (2011). Optimal Insurance with Counterparty Default Risk. SSRN.

Bjorkwall, S., Hossjer, O., Ohlsson, E. & Verrall, R. J.view all authors (2011). A generalized linear model with smoothing effects for claims reserving. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 49(1), pp. 27-37. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2011.01.012

Cowell, R., Lauritzen, S. L. & Mortera, J. (2011). Probabilistic expert systems for handling artifacts in complex DNA mixtures. Forensic Science International: Genetics, 5(3), pp. 202-209. doi: 10.1016/j.fsigen.2010.03.008

D'Amato, V., di Lorenzo, E., Haberman, S. , Russolillo, M. & Sibillo, M.view all authors (2011). The Poisson Log-Bilinear Lee-Carter Model: Applications Of efficient bootstrap methods to annuity analyses. North American Actuarial Journal, 15(2), pp. 315-333. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2011.10597623

Gavranovic, Nedim (2011). Optimal asset allocation and annuitisation in a defined contribution pension scheme. (Unpublished Doctoral thesis, City University London)

Haberman, S., Khalaf-Allah, M.A.E. & Verrall, R. J. (2011). Entropy, longevity and the cost of annuities. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 48(2), pp. 197-204. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2010.10.005

Mammen, E., Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, J. P. & Sperlich, S.view all authors (2011). Do-Validation for Kernel Density Estimation. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 106(494), pp. 651-660. doi: 10.1198/jasa.2011.tm08687

Mammen, E., Nielsen, J. P. & Fitzenberger, B. (2011). Generalized linear time series regression. Biometrika, 98(4), pp. 1007-1014. doi: 10.1093/biomet/asr044

Martinez-Miranda, M. D., Nielsen, B., Nielsen, J. P. & Verrall, R. J.view all authors (2011). Cash flow simulation for a model of outstanding liabilities based on claim amounts and claim numbers. ASTIN Bulletin, 41(1), pp. 107-129. doi: 10.2143/AST.41.1.2084388

Piscopo, G. & Haberman, S. (2011). The valuation of guaranteed lifelong withdrawal benefit options in variable annuity contracts and the impact of mortality risk. North American Actuarial Journal, 15(1), pp. 59-76. doi: 10.1080/10920277.2011.10597609

Russolillo, M., Giordano, G. & Haberman, S. (2011). Extending the Lee Carter Model: a Three-way Decomposition. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2011(2), pp. 96-117. doi: 10.1080/03461231003611933

Sithole, T., Haberman, S. & Verrall, R. J. (2011). Second international comparative study of mortality tables for pension fund retirees. British Actuarial Journal, 17(3), pp. 650-671. doi: 10.1017/s1357321712000207

Verrall, R. J. & Haberman, S. (2011). Automated Graduation using Bayesian Trans-dimensional Models. Annals of Actuarial Science, 5(2), pp. 231-251. doi: 10.1017/s1748499511000248

Wuethrich, M. V., Embrechts, P. & Tsanakas, A. (2011). Risk margin for a non-life insurance run-off. Statistics & Risk Modeling, 28(4), pp. 299-317. doi: 10.1524/strm.2011.1096

2010

Asimit, A.V. & Badescu, A. (2010). Extremes on the discounted aggregate claims in a time dependent risk model. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2010(2), pp. 93-104. doi: 10.1080/03461230802700897

Asimit, A.V., Furman, E. & Vernic, R. (2010). On a multivariate Pareto distribution. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 46(2), pp. 308-316. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2009.11.004

Asimit, A.V., Li, D. & Peng, L. (2010). Pitfalls in using Weibull tailed distributions. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 140(7), pp. 2018-2024. doi: 10.1016/j.jspi.2010.01.039

Bacinello, A.R., Olivieri, A., Millossovich, P. & Pitacco, E.view all authors (2010). Variable Annuities: Risk Identification and Risk Assessment (CAREFIN Research Paper No. 14/2010). Milan, Italy: BAFFI CAREFIN, Bocconi University.

Dimitrova, D. S. & Kaishev, V. K. (2010). Optimal joint survival reinsurance: An efficient frontier approach. INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS, 47(1), pp. 27-35. doi: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2010.03.006

Gerrard, R. J. G. & Tsanakas, A. (2010). Failure Probability Under Parameter Uncertainty. Risk Analysis, 31(5), pp. 727-744. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01549.x

Haslip, G. G. & Kaishev, V. K. (2010). Pricing of reinsurance contracts in the presence of catastrophe bonds. ASTIN Bulletin, 40(1), pp. 307-329. doi: 10.2143/ast.40.1.2049231